工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2015年
1期
60-69
,共10页
经济%能源%协调发展%耦合协调模型%主成分分析
經濟%能源%協調髮展%耦閤協調模型%主成分分析
경제%능원%협조발전%우합협조모형%주성분분석
economy%energy%coordinative development%coupled coordinative model%principal component analysis
3E系统是目前研究的重点,通常情况下,在3E系统的研究中表现出缺乏对子系统内在的相互关系的研究,尤其是经济与能源之间的协调关系在研究中比较少见。因此,本文利用主成分分析结合一般耦合协调模型、灰色耦合协调模型以及熵变方程法对我国的经济与能源之间协调发展关系进行研究。研究发现:近20年来,中国的经济与能源之间的协调发展大体经历了3个阶段,逐渐趋向协调。尤其是进入21世纪后,经济与能源之间的协调度每年都在不断增大,协调性也越来越好。尽管如此,尤其是最近几年仍表现出经济滞后型,经济与能源系统之间的协调还可进一步提高。以上分析,为政府制定经济计划和能源发展政策提供参考,以达到资源节约型的经济健康发展模式。
3E繫統是目前研究的重點,通常情況下,在3E繫統的研究中錶現齣缺乏對子繫統內在的相互關繫的研究,尤其是經濟與能源之間的協調關繫在研究中比較少見。因此,本文利用主成分分析結閤一般耦閤協調模型、灰色耦閤協調模型以及熵變方程法對我國的經濟與能源之間協調髮展關繫進行研究。研究髮現:近20年來,中國的經濟與能源之間的協調髮展大體經歷瞭3箇階段,逐漸趨嚮協調。尤其是進入21世紀後,經濟與能源之間的協調度每年都在不斷增大,協調性也越來越好。儘管如此,尤其是最近幾年仍錶現齣經濟滯後型,經濟與能源繫統之間的協調還可進一步提高。以上分析,為政府製定經濟計劃和能源髮展政策提供參攷,以達到資源節約型的經濟健康髮展模式。
3E계통시목전연구적중점,통상정황하,재3E계통적연구중표현출결핍대자계통내재적상호관계적연구,우기시경제여능원지간적협조관계재연구중비교소견。인차,본문이용주성분분석결합일반우합협조모형、회색우합협조모형이급적변방정법대아국적경제여능원지간협조발전관계진행연구。연구발현:근20년래,중국적경제여능원지간적협조발전대체경력료3개계단,축점추향협조。우기시진입21세기후,경제여능원지간적협조도매년도재불단증대,협조성야월래월호。진관여차,우기시최근궤년잉표현출경제체후형,경제여능원계통지간적협조환가진일보제고。이상분석,위정부제정경제계화화능원발전정책제공삼고,이체도자원절약형적경제건강발전모식。
The 3E system is one of the most important problems in the current researches . Usually , there are few studies about sub-systems in the 3E system . Especially the coordinative development between economy and energy is relatively rare . Therefore , in this pa-per , the coordinative developments between economy and energy were studied by using principal component analysis combined with general coupled coordinative model , grey coupled coordinative model and the entropy equation method . The studies show that China's coordinative development between economy and energy generally has experienced three stages . It gradually tends to coordinate , and the values of the coordination degree between economy and energy are increasing every year . Especially in the 21st century , coordination is also becoming better and better . Nevertheless , the contradiction between economy and energy is still outstanding . The results show that the economy lags behind in the recent years . The coordination between energy and economic systems should be further improved . In order to achieve a de-velopment mode of resource-saving and healthy economy , this study may provide some references for the government to develop economic planning and energy policy through the above analyses .