天津城建大学学报
天津城建大學學報
천진성건대학학보
Journal of Tianjin CHENGJIAN University
2015年
2期
139-143
,共5页
电力网络%电力负荷预测%负荷密度指标%模糊贴近度
電力網絡%電力負荷預測%負荷密度指標%模糊貼近度
전력망락%전력부하예측%부하밀도지표%모호첩근도
power network%power load forecasting%load density index method%fuzzy nearness
安全、稳定、充裕的电力网络是现代城镇发展的基础。做好电网规划，首先要进行电力负荷预测。以往负荷密度指标的选取通常采用简单类比和经验判断得到，难以满足精度要求。通过引入模糊贴近度理论，使负荷密度指标的选取更科学精准，并以安徽省某现代城镇电力负荷预测为例，得到负荷密度指标值。实例表明，该方法结构合理，思路清晰，实用性较强。
安全、穩定、充裕的電力網絡是現代城鎮髮展的基礎。做好電網規劃，首先要進行電力負荷預測。以往負荷密度指標的選取通常採用簡單類比和經驗判斷得到，難以滿足精度要求。通過引入模糊貼近度理論，使負荷密度指標的選取更科學精準，併以安徽省某現代城鎮電力負荷預測為例，得到負荷密度指標值。實例錶明，該方法結構閤理，思路清晰，實用性較彊。
안전、은정、충유적전력망락시현대성진발전적기출。주호전망규화，수선요진행전력부하예측。이왕부하밀도지표적선취통상채용간단류비화경험판단득도，난이만족정도요구。통과인입모호첩근도이론，사부하밀도지표적선취경과학정준，병이안휘성모현대성진전력부하예측위례，득도부하밀도지표치。실례표명，해방법결구합리，사로청석，실용성교강。
Safe, stable and adequate power network is the foundation of modern towns’ development. However it is the first thing to forecast power load of power planning. Previous the load density index is usually obtained by simple analogy and experience which can hardly meet the accuracy requirements.This article, using the theory of fuzzy nearness, makes the load density index more scientific and accurate. By taking a modern town in Anhui Province as an example of power load fore-casting, the authors calculate the load density index values. Example shows that the method is reasonable, clear, and practical.
