经济与管理评论
經濟與管理評論
경제여관리평론
Shandong Economy
2015年
3期
139-147
,共9页
沿海城市%经济系统%脆弱性%集对分析法%时空演化特征
沿海城市%經濟繫統%脆弱性%集對分析法%時空縯化特徵
연해성시%경제계통%취약성%집대분석법%시공연화특정
coastal tourism%economic system%vulnerability%set pair analysis method%space-time evolution characteristics
在剖析旅游经济系统脆弱性内涵的基础上,构建评价指标体系,以山东沿海地区为研究对象,运用集对分析方法对其进行测度和评价,揭示沿海地区旅游经济系统脆弱性水平的时空演化特征,并提出相应的对策。2002-2011年,山东沿海地区旅游经济系统总体上呈现敏感性下降、应对性上升、脆弱性逐年下降的演变态势,且脆弱性水平地域差异显著,表现为空间上的演化特征。因此,应降低沿海地区旅游经济系统的整体脆弱性,平衡地域差异,从而提升整体应对能力,推动山东沿海地区旅游经济的可持续发展。
在剖析旅遊經濟繫統脆弱性內涵的基礎上,構建評價指標體繫,以山東沿海地區為研究對象,運用集對分析方法對其進行測度和評價,揭示沿海地區旅遊經濟繫統脆弱性水平的時空縯化特徵,併提齣相應的對策。2002-2011年,山東沿海地區旅遊經濟繫統總體上呈現敏感性下降、應對性上升、脆弱性逐年下降的縯變態勢,且脆弱性水平地域差異顯著,錶現為空間上的縯化特徵。因此,應降低沿海地區旅遊經濟繫統的整體脆弱性,平衡地域差異,從而提升整體應對能力,推動山東沿海地區旅遊經濟的可持續髮展。
재부석여유경제계통취약성내함적기출상,구건평개지표체계,이산동연해지구위연구대상,운용집대분석방법대기진행측도화평개,게시연해지구여유경제계통취약성수평적시공연화특정,병제출상응적대책。2002-2011년,산동연해지구여유경제계통총체상정현민감성하강、응대성상승、취약성축년하강적연변태세,차취약성수평지역차이현저,표현위공간상적연화특정。인차,응강저연해지구여유경제계통적정체취약성,평형지역차이,종이제승정체응대능력,추동산동연해지구여유경제적가지속발전。
This paper analyzes the connotation of vulnerability of the tourist economy system and establishes its evaluation index sys-tem. With the coastal area of Shandong Province,China as its object of study,it adopts the method of set pair analysis. It first meas-ures and evaluates the vulnerability level of tourist economy system in the coastal areas of Shandong. Then it reveals the characteristics of the temporal and spatial evolution of the vulnerability level of the coastal tourist economy system,and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures. The results show that between the years of 2002 and 2011,the coastal tourist economy system in Shandong generally presented an evolutionary tendency of decreasing sensitivity,rising responsive capacity and year-by-year falling vulnerability. Mean-while,there are significant regional differences in vulnerability with the characteristics of spatial evolution. Therefore,in order to pro-mote the overall responsive capacity and the sustainable development of coastal economic development in Shandong,such measures should be taken as reducing the vulnerability of coastal tourist economy system and achieving the balance of regional disparity.