CAJ | 학술논문

运用文献资料、逻辑分析及数理统计等方法，以第25～30届奥运会各国游泳运动项目奖牌数为依据，以比较优势理论为工具，对奥运会游泳运动强国优势项目群动态变化进行对比分析。研究结果表明：第25～30届奥运会我国游泳队经历了“高潮—低谷—高潮”的“V型”发展脉络；各游泳强国不同优势项目群其比较优势指数亦不同；优势项目群与美国重叠最多，与日本重叠最少，蝶泳是与其他游泳强国重叠最少的项目群；在蝶泳项目群上，美国呈现出稳定的发展态势，其地位不可撼动，而澳大利亚却呈现出逐渐下滑的发展态势；在短距离自由泳项目群上，美国短距离自由泳项目群绝对优势指数虽不稳定，但其波动性较小。俄罗斯一直呈现出低水平发展的态势。而法国和荷兰绝对优势指数一直攀升，成为我国的主要竞争对手，对我国形成了巨大的冲击。
운용문헌자료、라집분석급수리통계등방법，이제25～30계오운회각국유영운동항목장패수위의거，이비교우세이론위공구，대오운회유영운동강국우세항목군동태변화진행대비분석。연구결과표명：제25～30계오운회아국유영대경력료“고조—저곡—고조”적“V형”발전맥락；각유영강국불동우세항목군기비교우세지수역불동；우세항목군여미국중첩최다，여일본중첩최소，접영시여기타유영강국중첩최소적항목군；재접영항목군상，미국정현출은정적발전태세，기지위불가감동，이오대리아각정현출축점하활적발전태세；재단거리자유영항목군상，미국단거리자유영항목군절대우세지수수불은정，단기파동성교소。아라사일직정현출저수평발전적태세。이법국화하란절대우세지수일직반승，성위아국적주요경쟁대수，대아국형성료거대적충격。
Using literature,logical analysis and mathematical statistics,based on national swimming medals of the 25-30th Olympic Games and by means of comparative advantage theory,it analyzes dynamic changes of advantageous event-groups of swimming of power nations in the Olympic Games.The results show that swimming team in our nation has experienced "V"type development,namely "high -low -high"in the 25-30th Olympic Games.The comparative index of world swimming power with respectively advantageous event-groups is different.China has the largest overlapping with the United States and the smallest with Japan in advantageous event-groups.Compared with other nations,the event-groups with the least overlapping is butterfly.In the event-groups of butterfly,the United States shows the steady trend of development and its position cannot be shaken.Instead,the Australia presents a declining trend.The United States'absolute advantage index of short distance freestyle event-groups is not stable but its fluctuation is very little,and Russia has always showed a low level development trend.Rather,the absolute advantage index is always increasingly climbing in France and Holland,which have become our main competitors and formed huge influence on us.