西安理工大学学报
西安理工大學學報
서안리공대학학보
JOURNAL OF XI'AN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY
2015年
1期
25-33
,共9页
解建仓%李波%柴立%姜仁贵
解建倉%李波%柴立%薑仁貴
해건창%리파%시립%강인귀
城市洪涝%突发事件%应急应对%模拟调控
城市洪澇%突髮事件%應急應對%模擬調控
성시홍로%돌발사건%응급응대%모의조공
urban flood disaster%emergency event%control and response%simulation and adjust-ment
城市化和气候变化让城市洪涝成为常态,频发、广发、急转、重灾的特征显现,应对城市洪涝更加成为广泛重视的研究主题。以往研究成果大多集中在对洪涝发生发展的机理认识和城市建设中的防御体系加强与改造方面,交叉应用现代信息技术的研究成果也不少,但城市洪涝作为自然灾害的一种,目前的应对成效还有很大差距。在相当长的一个时期内,就现存的应对条件,特别是当前急需要见效,研究者把重点放在机理研究和城市基础改造就不妥当,要把城市洪涝按突发事件对待,强化应急应对才是上策。本文遵循分治与综合思想,建议整合信息、计算、经验资源,探索与事件特征和过程相适应的情景组合、事件主题、模型方法组件、应对预案、模拟调控等的集成应用,提出了快速适应、不断积累、知识智慧服务的城市洪灾应对新模式。
城市化和氣候變化讓城市洪澇成為常態,頻髮、廣髮、急轉、重災的特徵顯現,應對城市洪澇更加成為廣汎重視的研究主題。以往研究成果大多集中在對洪澇髮生髮展的機理認識和城市建設中的防禦體繫加彊與改造方麵,交扠應用現代信息技術的研究成果也不少,但城市洪澇作為自然災害的一種,目前的應對成效還有很大差距。在相噹長的一箇時期內,就現存的應對條件,特彆是噹前急需要見效,研究者把重點放在機理研究和城市基礎改造就不妥噹,要把城市洪澇按突髮事件對待,彊化應急應對纔是上策。本文遵循分治與綜閤思想,建議整閤信息、計算、經驗資源,探索與事件特徵和過程相適應的情景組閤、事件主題、模型方法組件、應對預案、模擬調控等的集成應用,提齣瞭快速適應、不斷積纍、知識智慧服務的城市洪災應對新模式。
성시화화기후변화양성시홍로성위상태,빈발、엄발、급전、중재적특정현현,응대성시홍로경가성위엄범중시적연구주제。이왕연구성과대다집중재대홍로발생발전적궤리인식화성시건설중적방어체계가강여개조방면,교차응용현대신식기술적연구성과야불소,단성시홍로작위자연재해적일충,목전적응대성효환유흔대차거。재상당장적일개시기내,취현존적응대조건,특별시당전급수요견효,연구자파중점방재궤리연구화성시기출개조취불타당,요파성시홍로안돌발사건대대,강화응급응대재시상책。본문준순분치여종합사상,건의정합신식、계산、경험자원,탐색여사건특정화과정상괄응적정경조합、사건주제、모형방법조건、응대예안、모의조공등적집성응용,제출료쾌속괄응、불단적루、지식지혜복무적성시홍재응대신모식。
Urbanization and climate change make the urban flood disaster (UFD) into normal state with characteristics of higher frequency ,more influenced area ,sudden turn and higher disaster . Accordingly ,coping with the urban flood disasters has become the research objective with exten‐sive attention .In the past ,most of the research results focus on the mechanism of the UFD oc‐currence and development ,and enhance and reformation of the defense system in the urban con‐struction ,and less focus on the cross‐application of modern information resources .As one of the natural disasters ,the efficiency of the response to the UFD still has a big disparity .In quite a long time ,as far as the existing response conditions are concerned ,especially it should gain the immediate results nowadays .For this reason ,it is inappropriate to put our emphasis on the mechanism research and urban foundation upgrading ,instead ,the best plan should treat UFD as emergency event so that the control and response of UFD should be strengthened .Following the divide‐and‐conquer and meta‐synthesis theories ,this paper suggests that the study explores the integrated application of the combined scenario ,event theme ,model and method component ,re‐sponse preplan ,simulation and adjustment ,w hich adapt to the characteristics and processes of the events ,integrating resources of information ,computing and experience .Accordingly ,the new flood disaster control methods consisted of quick adaptation ,continuous accumulation and knowledge wisdom service have been proposed .