华东交通大学学报
華東交通大學學報
화동교통대학학보
JOURNAL OF EAST CHINA JIAOTONG UNIVERSITY
2015年
2期
59-66
,共8页
民用飞机%政策分析%政策建议%CGE模型
民用飛機%政策分析%政策建議%CGE模型
민용비궤%정책분석%정책건의%CGE모형
civil aircraft%policy analysis%policy suggestions%CGE model
针对民用飞机在研发制造和销售运营两个阶段的国家综合政策,基于2007年投入产出表,建立了用于民用飞机相关政策分析的可计算一般均衡模型,并利用这一模型模拟了综合政策冲击。模拟结果表明,国家税收优惠、投资补贴是促进民用飞机发展的关键因素,上下游产业产出的增长对民用飞机起到了积极的带动作用,加大研发投入是刺激民用飞机兴起的有效途径。根据模拟结果提出政策建议,为制定民用飞机政策提供理论依据。
針對民用飛機在研髮製造和銷售運營兩箇階段的國傢綜閤政策,基于2007年投入產齣錶,建立瞭用于民用飛機相關政策分析的可計算一般均衡模型,併利用這一模型模擬瞭綜閤政策遲擊。模擬結果錶明,國傢稅收優惠、投資補貼是促進民用飛機髮展的關鍵因素,上下遊產業產齣的增長對民用飛機起到瞭積極的帶動作用,加大研髮投入是刺激民用飛機興起的有效途徑。根據模擬結果提齣政策建議,為製定民用飛機政策提供理論依據。
침대민용비궤재연발제조화소수운영량개계단적국가종합정책,기우2007년투입산출표,건립료용우민용비궤상관정책분석적가계산일반균형모형,병이용저일모형모의료종합정책충격。모의결과표명,국가세수우혜、투자보첩시촉진민용비궤발전적관건인소,상하유산업산출적증장대민용비궤기도료적겁적대동작용,가대연발투입시자격민용비궤흥기적유효도경。근거모의결과제출정책건의,위제정민용비궤정책제공이론의거。
In light of our national comprehensive policy of civil aircraft during two stages, namely researching&manufacturing and marketing&operating, based on the input-output table of 2007, this study built up a comput?able general equilibrium model for the analysis of related policy of civil aircraft to simulate the effect of compre?hensive policy. Results show that the taxation preferences and investment subsidies are the key factors for promot?ing civil aircraft development and the output growth in upstream-downstream industries play a positive leading role in developing civil aircraft. It maintains that the increase of investment in researching is the effective solution to stimulating civil aircraft rising. According to the simulation results, it finally puts forward policy suggestions to provide theoretical basis for civil aircraft policy.