武汉理工大学学报(交通科学与工程版)
武漢理工大學學報(交通科學與工程版)
무한리공대학학보(교통과학여공정판)
JOURNAL OF WUHAN UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(TRANSPORTATION SCIENCE & ENGINEERING)
2015年
2期
419-422,426
,共5页
小汽车%影响因素%Logit模型%弹性分析%边际替代率
小汽車%影響因素%Logit模型%彈性分析%邊際替代率
소기차%영향인소%Logit모형%탄성분석%변제체대솔
vehicle%influence factor%Logit model%elastic analysis%marginal rate of substitution
以上海市交通为研究对象,选取日均出行次数、平均每次出行时间距离等影响因素,建立Logit模型,理清各因素对小汽车方式出行选择的影响程度与显著水平,定量分析小汽车方式出行在各因素条件下的选择概率。在此基础上,采用控制变量法绘制曲线,由弹性分析与边际替代率揭示小汽车方式出行选择行为的动态特性。
以上海市交通為研究對象,選取日均齣行次數、平均每次齣行時間距離等影響因素,建立Logit模型,理清各因素對小汽車方式齣行選擇的影響程度與顯著水平,定量分析小汽車方式齣行在各因素條件下的選擇概率。在此基礎上,採用控製變量法繪製麯線,由彈性分析與邊際替代率揭示小汽車方式齣行選擇行為的動態特性。
이상해시교통위연구대상,선취일균출행차수、평균매차출행시간거리등영향인소,건립Logit모형,리청각인소대소기차방식출행선택적영향정도여현저수평,정량분석소기차방식출행재각인소조건하적선택개솔。재차기출상,채용공제변량법회제곡선,유탄성분석여변제체대솔게시소기차방식출행선택행위적동태특성。
Taking example of traffic in Shanghai and selecting influence factors such as daily average tr‐avel times and the average travel time distance and so on ,Logit model is established to clarify the in‐fluence degree and the significant level of various factors on the way of vehicle travel choice ,and to have a quantitative analysis of the vehicle travel choice probability under the condition of various fac‐tors .On this basis ,the control variable method is used to draw curves .Elastic analysis and the mar‐ginal rate of substitution reveals the dynamic characteristic of the vehicle travel choice behavior .