江西农业学报
江西農業學報
강서농업학보
ACTA AGRICULTURAE JIANGXI
2015年
4期
121-124
,共4页
朱友理%邱晓红%吴小美%何东兵
硃友理%邱曉紅%吳小美%何東兵
주우리%구효홍%오소미%하동병
Logit模型%农户%病虫害专业化防治%意愿%影响因素
Logit模型%農戶%病蟲害專業化防治%意願%影響因素
Logit모형%농호%병충해전업화방치%의원%영향인소
Logit model%Farmer%Specialized control against agricultural diseases and pests%Willingness%Influencing factor
基于对镇江市农户的实地调查数据,利用多项Logit模型分析了农户病虫害专业化防治意愿及其影响因素。发现:籍贯和年龄对农户专业化防治意愿无显著影响;受教育程度对农户选择“代防代治”和“全程承包”在10%水平上有显著负向影响;家庭务农人数对农户选择“代防代治”和“全程承包”分别在1%和5%水平上有显著负向影响;种植面积对农户选择“代防代治”和“全程承包”均在1%水平上有显著正向影响。
基于對鎮江市農戶的實地調查數據,利用多項Logit模型分析瞭農戶病蟲害專業化防治意願及其影響因素。髮現:籍貫和年齡對農戶專業化防治意願無顯著影響;受教育程度對農戶選擇“代防代治”和“全程承包”在10%水平上有顯著負嚮影響;傢庭務農人數對農戶選擇“代防代治”和“全程承包”分彆在1%和5%水平上有顯著負嚮影響;種植麵積對農戶選擇“代防代治”和“全程承包”均在1%水平上有顯著正嚮影響。
기우대진강시농호적실지조사수거,이용다항Logit모형분석료농호병충해전업화방치의원급기영향인소。발현:적관화년령대농호전업화방치의원무현저영향;수교육정도대농호선택“대방대치”화“전정승포”재10%수평상유현저부향영향;가정무농인수대농호선택“대방대치”화“전정승포”분별재1%화5%수평상유현저부향영향;충식면적대농호선택“대방대치”화“전정승포”균재1%수평상유현저정향영향。
Based on the field survey data of farmers in Zhenjiang city , the author analyzed farmers ’ willingness to accept spe-cialized control against agricultural diseases and pests as well as its influencing factors by using polynomial Logit model .It was found that:the native place and age of farmers had no significant influences on their willingness to accept specialized control against agri -cultural diseases and pests;the educated level of farmers had significant ( P<0.1) negative influences on their selection of “control-ling agricultural diseases and pests for farmers” and “undertaking the whole field management for farmers”;the farming population in household had significant negative influences on farmer ’ s selection of “controlling agricultural diseases and pests for farmers” and“undertaking the whole field management for farmers” at 1%and 5%level respectively;the cultivated area of farmers had signifi-cant ( P<0.01) positive influences on their selection .