CAJ | 학술논문

本文以内蒙古生态环境质量为研究对象，运用加权合成法得出生态环境质量综合指数并进行评价分析，在此基础上运用灰色方法建立预测模型，得出预测值。研究表明：从1990－2010年，生态环境质量总的趋势是不断变好，但在不同的阶段其变化情况略有不同，在整个时段内生态环境质量处于一般等级。通过预测得出环境质量综合指数不断上升，环境质量不断改善，到2030年环境质量将达到良好等级。
본문이내몽고생태배경질량위연구대상，운용가권합성법득출생태배경질량종합지수병진행평개분석，재차기출상운용회색방법건립예측모형，득출예측치。연구표명：종1990－2010년，생태배경질량총적추세시불단변호，단재불동적계단기변화정황략유불동，재정개시단내생태배경질량처우일반등급。통과예측득출배경질량종합지수불단상승，배경질량불단개선，도2030년배경질량장체도량호등급。
In this paper,based on the research of the ecological environment quality in Inner Mongolia,the In-ner Mongolia ecological environmental quality of comprehensive index is obtained and establishes the early warning mechanism.The research shows that:during the study period,the ecological environmental quality is rising in fluc-tuation in Inner Mongolia,but in different period of the progress,speed and trend of the change of it is a bit differ-ent,but in the whole period of the ecological environment quality in general condition.Ecological environment pre-diction model is set up by using the gray method,the Inner Mongolia ecological environmental quality comprehen-sive index is obtained by prediction rising.The environmental quality becomes better and better and the environ-mental quality in 2030 will be in good condition.