CAJ | 학술논문

针对石化企业应急能力评价过程中随机性与模糊性并存的问题，提出一种基于云模型的综合评价方法。首先，从危机管理的 PPRR 模型出发建立了石化企业应急成熟度评价指标体系；其次，分别采用逆向云发生器和 CRITIC 法计算指标的评价云和权重值；最后，通过浮动云和综合云算法实现应急成熟度的综合评价。实例分析表明，该方法能够揭示评价因子与评价过程内在的不确定性，评价结果直观、符合实际，便于实现专家的群体决策。
침대석화기업응급능력평개과정중수궤성여모호성병존적문제，제출일충기우운모형적종합평개방법。수선，종위궤관리적 PPRR 모형출발건립료석화기업응급성숙도평개지표체계；기차，분별채용역향운발생기화 CRITIC 법계산지표적평개운화권중치；최후，통과부동운화종합운산법실현응급성숙도적종합평개。실례분석표명，해방법능구게시평개인자여평개과정내재적불학정성，평개결과직관、부합실제，편우실현전가적군체결책。
A comprehensive assessment method based on cloud model theory is proposed in order to deal with the problem of fuzziness and randomness in the process of emergency capacity assessment of petrochemical enterprises.Firstly,starting from PPRR(prevention,preparation,response and recov-ery)model of crisis management,assessment indicator system of emergency maturity in petrochemi-cal enterprises was established;then,cloud model and weight value of indexes were obtained through backward cloud generator and CRITIC(criteria importance through intercriteria correlation)method;finally,comprehensive assessment of emergency maturity was accomplished by floating and compre-hensive cloud algorithms.The results show that this method can reveal inherent uncertainty of assess-ment process and indexes,and the evaluation results are intuitive and practical,so as to achieve group decision-making easily.