CAJ | 학술논문

我国需要大力发展第三方物流产业，如何在尊重市场规律的同时，发挥政府的支持作用是需要研究的问题。运用博弈理论和方法，建立物流企业（产业）与非物流企业（产业）、物流企业（产业）与政府之间的动态博弈模型。分析结果表明：物流企业（产业）发展初期需要政府支持，否则难以坚持经营；政府作为公共管理机构，也会考虑支持物流产业的成本与收益，当物流产业发展间接增加了政府的税收，它又大于政府直接给予物流企业（产业）的税收优惠或财政补贴，政府会选择支持物流产业发展。可以推测，由于物流产业发展能增加政府的长期收益，即使在物流产业发展初期政府的支出大于其收入，政府亦应支持物流产业的发展。最后，提出政府支持物流产业发展的对策建议。
아국수요대력발전제삼방물유산업，여하재존중시장규률적동시，발휘정부적지지작용시수요연구적문제。운용박혁이론화방법，건립물류기업（산업）여비물류기업（산업）、물류기업（산업）여정부지간적동태박혁모형。분석결과표명：물류기업（산업）발전초기수요정부지지，부칙난이견지경영；정부작위공공관리궤구，야회고필지지물유산업적성본여수익，당물유산업발전간접증가료정부적세수，타우대우정부직접급여물류기업（산업）적세수우혜혹재정보첩，정부회선택지지물유산업발전。가이추측，유우물유산업발전능증가정부적장기수익，즉사재물유산업발전초기정부적지출대우기수입，정부역응지지물유산업적발전。최후，제출정부지지물유산업발전적대책건의。
The third-party logistics industry should be boosted necessarily in China.It is a research subject on the role of government support when following the market principle.The dynamic game models of logistics firms (industry)and non-logistics firms (industry),logistics firms(industry)and government were established on the basis of game theory.The results show that logistic firms should be supported by government in the initial stage,otherwise the firm cannot maintain operation.The government considers benefits and costs of supporting logistics industry as an economic agent when the tax amounts caused indirectly by logistics development outweigh tax reduction or fiscal subsidy paid directly by government,then it will support logistics firms (industry).Specu-lations can be made that even though indirect tax increase is less than direct tax decrease or fiscal subsidy in first stage,the government should support logistics industry since the development of logistics industry will offer more tax in long term.Finally,some countermeasures for government were put forward so as to support logistics industry.