CAJ | 학술논문

高新技术产业作为区域经济新的增长极，在提升自主创新能力和延伸产业链等方面的作用尤为关键。文中以向量自回归理论为基础，以协整分析、格兰杰因果检验和方差分解为核心的方法体系，以陕西20年相关数据为依据，对陕西高新技术产业与经济增长的关系进行实证分析。研究结论表明：高新技术产业发展对经济增长的贡献突出且呈长期均衡关系，不同高新技术产业对经济增长的贡献度差异明显。
고신기술산업작위구역경제신적증장겁，재제승자주창신능력화연신산업련등방면적작용우위관건。문중이향량자회귀이론위기출，이협정분석、격란걸인과검험화방차분해위핵심적방법체계，이협서20년상관수거위의거，대협서고신기술산업여경제증장적관계진행실증분석。연구결론표명：고신기술산업발전대경제증장적공헌돌출차정장기균형관계，불동고신기술산업대경제증장적공헌도차이명현。
As a new regional economic grow th pole ,high- tech industry has played a vital role in enhancing independent innovation capability and extending the industrial chain .Based on the vector auto regression theory ,integrating cointegration analysis ,Granger causality test and variance decomposition together ,and making full use of 20 years’ relevant data of Shaanxi ,the relationship between high-tech industries and economic grow th was analyzed .It is conduded that the development of high-tech industry has contributed much to economic grow th and they has formulated a long-term equilibrium relationship ;however ,different high-tech industries make different contribution to economic growth .