CAJ | 학술논문

应用自回归分布滞后模型（ARDL）研究外商直接投资与中国碳排放之间的长短期相互关系。发现在长短期内， FDI的流入增加了碳排放，说明FDI在产业转移的同时，也转移了相当部分的碳排放。而我国高碳的经济发展模式是吸引FDI 进入高排放、高能耗、高污染产业的主要动因。虽然外资也带来了更加清洁与低碳的技术，但是FDI的技术效应为高碳的产业结构效应所抵消。研究还发现经济增长在长短期内增加了我国的碳排放，且短期系数高于长期系数。
응용자회귀분포체후모형（ARDL）연구외상직접투자여중국탄배방지간적장단기상호관계。발현재장단기내， FDI적류입증가료탄배방，설명FDI재산업전이적동시，야전이료상당부분적탄배방。이아국고탄적경제발전모식시흡인FDI 진입고배방、고능모、고오염산업적주요동인。수연외자야대래료경가청길여저탄적기술，단시FDI적기술효응위고탄적산업결구효응소저소。연구환발현경제증장재장단기내증가료아국적탄배방，차단기계수고우장기계수。
An autoregressive distributed lag(ARDL)model is applied to examine the short-and long-run relationship between foreign direct investment(FDI)and CO2 Emissions in China.We find that FDI tends to deteriorate the environment in both the short-and long-run.FDI moved quite a part of the carbon emissions while in industrial transfer.China’s economic development pattern of high carbon is the main cause to attract FDI into heavy pollution and high carbon industries.FDI transferred clean and advanced technology to China.But the technology effect is often offset by compostion effect of high carbon.And economic growth is found to have a detrimental effect on the environment both in the short-and long-run and the short term coefficient is bigger than the long-term coefficient.