CAJ | 학술논문

本文通过构建综合评价指标体系，对甘肃省市域水资源承载力水平进行测度，并运用ESDA模型找出其空间分布特征。结果表明：水资源系统对承载力水平的影响最大，生态系统的影响最小；甘肃省整体水资源承载力水平较低，但有逐渐转好的趋势；承载力水平在空间上呈较明显的东西空间分异特征，水平较高的区域主要集聚在河西地区，水平较低的区域主要集聚在甘肃省中东部地区，且在时间序列上表现出较为稳定的空间演变特征。
본문통과구건종합평개지표체계，대감숙성시역수자원승재력수평진행측도，병운용ESDA모형조출기공간분포특정。결과표명：수자원계통대승재력수평적영향최대，생태계통적영향최소；감숙성정체수자원승재력수평교저，단유축점전호적추세；승재력수평재공간상정교명현적동서공간분이특정，수평교고적구역주요집취재하서지구，수평교저적구역주요집취재감숙성중동부지구，차재시간서렬상표현출교위은정적공간연변특정。
By constructing a comprehensive index system, the paper measured the water resources carrying capacity of the cities in Gansu Province. And applied ESDA model to find out the spatial distribution. The results show that the water resources system’s influence on carrying capacity is great and the ecosystem’s is minimal. The water resources carrying capacity of Gansu Province is low, but it takes a favorable turn gradually. The carrying capacity is very different between the east and the west, and the spatial evolution is stable. The high level area mainly gathered in Hexi region, and the low level area gathered in east-central Gansu Province.