重庆理工大学学报(社会科学版)
重慶理工大學學報(社會科學版)
중경리공대학학보(사회과학판)
JOURNAL OF CHONGQING INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY
2015年
4期
28-34
,共7页
碳排放%FDI%经济增长%联立方程
碳排放%FDI%經濟增長%聯立方程
탄배방%FDI%경제증장%련립방정
carbon emission%FDI%economic growth%simultaneous equation
通过中国30个省区1997—2012年能源消费数据,依据电(热)碳分摊原则测算出各省区的碳排放量,运用面板单位根和面板协整理论,建立了包含经济增长、碳排放以及外商直接投资在内的联立方程来分析区域 FDI 与二氧化碳排放的关系。结果表明:联立方程中每个模型的协整关系是成立的,区域 FDI 对区域碳排放的直接弹性是-0.001,间接弹性是0.146,区域产业结构对区域碳排放的直接弹性是0.032,间接弹性是1.882。研究进一步发现区域 FDI、区域经济增长、区域产业结构与区域能源强度都是促进区域碳排放的重要因素,并且区域 FDI 和区域碳排放量对区域经济增长呈现出双向的因果关系。
通過中國30箇省區1997—2012年能源消費數據,依據電(熱)碳分攤原則測算齣各省區的碳排放量,運用麵闆單位根和麵闆協整理論,建立瞭包含經濟增長、碳排放以及外商直接投資在內的聯立方程來分析區域 FDI 與二氧化碳排放的關繫。結果錶明:聯立方程中每箇模型的協整關繫是成立的,區域 FDI 對區域碳排放的直接彈性是-0.001,間接彈性是0.146,區域產業結構對區域碳排放的直接彈性是0.032,間接彈性是1.882。研究進一步髮現區域 FDI、區域經濟增長、區域產業結構與區域能源彊度都是促進區域碳排放的重要因素,併且區域 FDI 和區域碳排放量對區域經濟增長呈現齣雙嚮的因果關繫。
통과중국30개성구1997—2012년능원소비수거,의거전(열)탄분탄원칙측산출각성구적탄배방량,운용면판단위근화면판협정이론,건립료포함경제증장、탄배방이급외상직접투자재내적련립방정래분석구역 FDI 여이양화탄배방적관계。결과표명:련립방정중매개모형적협정관계시성립적,구역 FDI 대구역탄배방적직접탄성시-0.001,간접탄성시0.146,구역산업결구대구역탄배방적직접탄성시0.032,간접탄성시1.882。연구진일보발현구역 FDI、구역경제증장、구역산업결구여구역능원강도도시촉진구역탄배방적중요인소,병차구역 FDI 화구역탄배방량대구역경제증장정현출쌍향적인과관계。
This paper estimated the carbon emissions based on principles of electricity (hot)carbon allocation by using the energy consumption data of China’s 30 provinces from 1997 to 2011 and ap-plied panel unit root and panel co-integration theory to analyze the relationship between regional FDI and carbon emissions by establishing the simultaneous equations including economic growth,carbon e-missions and FDI.The results show that each model’s co-integration relationship of the simultaneous equations is established and the directly elasticity regional FDI on regional carbon emissions is -0.001,the indirect elasticity is 0.146,the directly elasticity regional industrial structure on regional carbon emissions is 0.032 and the indirect elasticity is 1.882.The study further found that regional FDI,regional economic growth,regional industrial structure and regional energy intensity are impor-tant factors in promoting regional carbon emissions,and there is a two-way causal relationship between regional FDI,regional carbon emissions and regional economic growth.