水资源与水工程学报
水資源與水工程學報
수자원여수공정학보
JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES AND WATER ENGINEERING
2015年
2期
32-39
,共8页
朱洁%王烜%李春晖%蔡宴朋
硃潔%王烜%李春暉%蔡宴朋
주길%왕훤%리춘휘%채연붕
系统动力学%水资源系统%水量-水质-生态耦合系统%述评
繫統動力學%水資源繫統%水量-水質-生態耦閤繫統%述評
계통동역학%수자원계통%수량-수질-생태우합계통%술평
system dynamics ( SD)%water resources system%water quantity-water qulity-water ecolo-gy couple system%review
系统动力学方法具有反馈控制理论在水资源系统的动态变化及系统运行的因果机制分析中优势显著。本文简要介绍了系统动力学方法的特点及发展历程,随后从水量、水质和水生态3方面系统地分析评述了系统动力学方法在水资源系统研究中的应用及其进展状况,指出系统动力学方法能很好地适应水资源系统自身特点和发展趋势,并提出了系统动力学方法在未来水资源系统研究中的发展趋势主要包括扩展研究尺度,关注水资源系统的复杂性,聚焦自然—人工复合系统和注重方法耦合互补等方面。
繫統動力學方法具有反饋控製理論在水資源繫統的動態變化及繫統運行的因果機製分析中優勢顯著。本文簡要介紹瞭繫統動力學方法的特點及髮展歷程,隨後從水量、水質和水生態3方麵繫統地分析評述瞭繫統動力學方法在水資源繫統研究中的應用及其進展狀況,指齣繫統動力學方法能很好地適應水資源繫統自身特點和髮展趨勢,併提齣瞭繫統動力學方法在未來水資源繫統研究中的髮展趨勢主要包括擴展研究呎度,關註水資源繫統的複雜性,聚焦自然—人工複閤繫統和註重方法耦閤互補等方麵。
계통동역학방법구유반궤공제이론재수자원계통적동태변화급계통운행적인과궤제분석중우세현저。본문간요개소료계통동역학방법적특점급발전역정,수후종수량、수질화수생태3방면계통지분석평술료계통동역학방법재수자원계통연구중적응용급기진전상황,지출계통동역학방법능흔호지괄응수자원계통자신특점화발전추세,병제출료계통동역학방법재미래수자원계통연구중적발전추세주요포괄확전연구척도,관주수자원계통적복잡성,취초자연—인공복합계통화주중방법우합호보등방면。
System dynamics method has a significant advantage in analysis of dynamic changes and causal mechanism of water resources system with its feedback control theory .First, this paper described the characteristics and development processes of system dynamics approach , then it systematically reviewed the progress in the applications of system dynamics method to water resources system from aspects water quantity , water quality and water ecosystems .The result showed that system dynamics method can well a-dapted to itself characteristics and evolution trends of water resources system .On the basis of progress re-view, the paper put forward the development trend of system dynamics method which mainly contain ex -panding research scale , paying attention to the complexity of water resources system , focusing natural -artificial composite system and coupling various methods to complement each other with their respective superiority .