水资源与水工程学报
水資源與水工程學報
수자원여수공정학보
JOURNAL OF WATER RESOURCES AND WATER ENGINEERING
2015年
2期
16-21
,共6页
郭彦%林秀芝%侯素珍%蒋尚明%景林艳
郭彥%林秀芝%侯素珍%蔣尚明%景林豔
곽언%림수지%후소진%장상명%경림염
降水资料%插补延长%经验模态分解%BP算法%逐步回归分析%频率分析%相关分析
降水資料%插補延長%經驗模態分解%BP算法%逐步迴歸分析%頻率分析%相關分析
강수자료%삽보연장%경험모태분해%BP산법%축보회귀분석%빈솔분석%상관분석
precipitation data%interpolation and extrapolation%empirical mode decomposition%back propagation algorithm%stepwise regression analysis%frequency analysis%correlation analysis
降水数据的插补可有效地改善数据系列的完整性。以西柳沟流域作为毛不拉孔兑的参证流域,采用EDM和BP算法对毛不拉孔兑缺失的降水量进行插补,并与已有的相关分析法、频率分析法及逐步回归分析法进行了比较。研究结果表明:EDM-BP模型综合利用了西柳沟降水序列EMD分量的有效信息,因而能较好地反映降水量的变化趋势,在数据拟合和预测方面达到较高的精度,适合毛不拉孔兑降水数据的插补,在其它水文数据插补延长中具有一定的推广应用价值。
降水數據的插補可有效地改善數據繫列的完整性。以西柳溝流域作為毛不拉孔兌的參證流域,採用EDM和BP算法對毛不拉孔兌缺失的降水量進行插補,併與已有的相關分析法、頻率分析法及逐步迴歸分析法進行瞭比較。研究結果錶明:EDM-BP模型綜閤利用瞭西柳溝降水序列EMD分量的有效信息,因而能較好地反映降水量的變化趨勢,在數據擬閤和預測方麵達到較高的精度,適閤毛不拉孔兌降水數據的插補,在其它水文數據插補延長中具有一定的推廣應用價值。
강수수거적삽보가유효지개선수거계렬적완정성。이서류구류역작위모불랍공태적삼증류역,채용EDM화BP산법대모불랍공태결실적강수량진행삽보,병여이유적상관분석법、빈솔분석법급축보회귀분석법진행료비교。연구결과표명:EDM-BP모형종합이용료서류구강수서렬EMD분량적유효신식,인이능교호지반영강수량적변화추세,재수거의합화예측방면체도교고적정도,괄합모불랍공태강수수거적삽보,재기타수문수거삽보연장중구유일정적추엄응용개치。
The interpolation of precipitation data can improve the integrity of data series effectively .Tak-ing Xiliugou River basin as reference , the paper interpolated the missing precipitation data in Maobula-kongtuo interpolated with Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and Back Propagation algorithm (BP) methods.The results were compared with that of correlation analysis , frequency analysis and stepwise re-gression analysis .The results show that EDM -BP model takes full advantage of effective information of Xiliugou the interpolation of precipitation data in EDM decomposition series , therefore which can better reflect the trend of precipitation series .Its precise of data fit and forecast is higher and is suit to the inter-polation of precipitation data at Maobulakongtuo .The result has certain application value to the interpola-tion and extrapolation of other hydrological data .