CAJ | 학술논문

文章重在分析乌鲁木齐市10年公益性岗位发展过程中取得的成绩及存在的问题，并基于灰色理论对乌鲁木齐市未来5年的人力资源需求进行预测，同时运用残差检验、关联度检验和后验差检验进行模型检验，保证预测结论的可靠性。预测结果表明：乌鲁木齐市公益性岗位未来5年仍然会呈现需求总量的增长态势，但现有政策的导向可能会减少公益性岗位的增幅。
문장중재분석오로목제시10년공익성강위발전과정중취득적성적급존재적문제，병기우회색이론대오로목제시미래5년적인력자원수구진행예측，동시운용잔차검험、관련도검험화후험차검험진행모형검험，보증예측결론적가고성。예측결과표명：오로목제시공익성강위미래5년잉연회정현수구총량적증장태세，단현유정책적도향가능회감소공익성강위적증폭。
This paper analyzed the development of setting up public welfare posits over the past ten years in Urumqi and used the Grey theory to predict the demand of human resources in the future 5 years in Urumqi. The Residual Test, Correlation Test and Post-Deviation Test were applied to check the model to ensure the reliability of prediction results. The results showed that Urumqi will witness a total demand growth on public service jobs over the next 5 years, but the current policies may reduce the growth of public welfare posts.