CAJ | 학술논문

2013年以来，中亚地区并未进入新的不稳定期，安全局势整体保持稳定。但由于影响中亚地区局势的主导性因素没有得到弱化或缓解，反而掩藏在相对平静的地区局势下不断聚合发酵，并有可能与后撤军时代阿富汗混乱的政治安全局势产生叠加效应，使得中亚安全局势的稳定显得异常脆弱，其未来走势也充满不确定性。
2013년이래，중아지구병미진입신적불은정기，안전국세정체보지은정。단유우영향중아지구국세적주도성인소몰유득도약화혹완해，반이엄장재상대평정적지구국세하불단취합발효，병유가능여후철군시대아부한혼란적정치안전국세산생첩가효응，사득중아안전국세적은정현득이상취약，기미래주세야충만불학정성。
Since 2013, Central Asia has not entered a new unstable situation and the security has main-tained stable on the whole. As the dominant factors influencing Central Asian situation have not been weakened or relieved, the hidden, relatively stable situation have been aggregating and fermenting, and can produce a superimposed effect once mixed with the troubled political security situation after the foreign army withdrawal from Afghanistan, so that the Central Asian security looks very fragile and is imbued with many uncertainties in the future.