CAJ | 학술논문

以钢铁行业为研究对象，对钢铁供应链碳足迹进行界定，根据IPCC提供的排放因子和核算方法测算我国钢铁行业碳排放量；运用SPSS软件分析碳排放量与人口、GDP、能源消费结构、能源消费总量、钢材消耗量、能源效率、工业增加值碳强度和回收利用率8个主要影响因素之间的关系，并构建了碳排放多元回归模型。结果表明，钢铁行业碳排放量与人口、GDP、能源消费总量和回收利用率关系密切，能源消费总量对碳排放影响最显著，而其它因素影响不大。我国钢铁行业可从“转变发展方式，调整资源结构；健全能源管理，推进技术创新；优化生产流程，发展循环经济”3个方面实现减排目标。
이강철행업위연구대상，대강철공응련탄족적진행계정，근거IPCC제공적배방인자화핵산방법측산아국강철행업탄배방량；운용SPSS연건분석탄배방량여인구、GDP、능원소비결구、능원소비총량、강재소모량、능원효솔、공업증가치탄강도화회수이용솔8개주요영향인소지간적관계，병구건료탄배방다원회귀모형。결과표명，강철행업탄배방량여인구、GDP、능원소비총량화회수이용솔관계밀절，능원소비총량대탄배방영향최현저，이기타인소영향불대。아국강철행업가종“전변발전방식，조정자원결구；건전능원관리，추진기술창신；우화생산류정，발전순배경제”3개방면실현감배목표。
T he paper calculates carbon emissions of China's steel industry according to the accounting methods and emission factors provided by the IPCC Guidelines ;defines the boundary of the steel supply chain carbon footprint ,uses SPSS to make an empirical analysis on the main factors influencing carbon dioxide emissions ,w hich contain population ,GDP ,en‐ergy consumption structure ,total energy consumption ,steel consumption ,energy efficiency ,carbon intensity of industrial added value and recycling rates .The study shows that :Carbon emissions have a close relationship with population ,GDP , total energy consumption and recycling rates .The most significant impact of carbon emissions is the total energy consump‐tion ,and other factors have little effect .T he iron and steel enterprises can meet emissions reduction targets by transforma‐tion of development mode ,adjusting the resource structure ;improving energy management ,promoting technological inno‐vation ;optimization of production processes ,developing circular economy and other aspects .