安徽农学通报
安徽農學通報
안휘농학통보
AUHUI AGRICULTURAL SCIENCE BULLETIN
2015年
9期
134-137
,共4页
董宝磊%魏海宁%邵兵%崔曜鹏%丁伟%邢刚
董寶磊%魏海寧%邵兵%崔曜鵬%丁偉%邢剛
동보뢰%위해저%소병%최요붕%정위%형강
气温%线性评估%Mann-Kendall法%气温突变
氣溫%線性評估%Mann-Kendall法%氣溫突變
기온%선성평고%Mann-Kendall법%기온돌변
Temperature%Lined assessment%Mann-Kendall method%Temperature mutation
以铁岭县观测站数据为基础,选取气温要素指标,采用线性倾向估计、Mann-Kendall和累积距平法,对1969-2013年铁岭县气温变化趋势进行探讨。结果表明:近45a来,铁岭县春、夏、秋季和冬季平均气温均呈明显的增加趋势,夏季虽有增加趋势,但不显著。铁岭县年和各季平均气温均无明显突变。铁岭县在20世纪80年代末进入了明显的暖期。
以鐵嶺縣觀測站數據為基礎,選取氣溫要素指標,採用線性傾嚮估計、Mann-Kendall和纍積距平法,對1969-2013年鐵嶺縣氣溫變化趨勢進行探討。結果錶明:近45a來,鐵嶺縣春、夏、鞦季和鼕季平均氣溫均呈明顯的增加趨勢,夏季雖有增加趨勢,但不顯著。鐵嶺縣年和各季平均氣溫均無明顯突變。鐵嶺縣在20世紀80年代末進入瞭明顯的暖期。
이철령현관측참수거위기출,선취기온요소지표,채용선성경향고계、Mann-Kendall화루적거평법,대1969-2013년철령현기온변화추세진행탐토。결과표명:근45a래,철령현춘、하、추계화동계평균기온균정명현적증가추세,하계수유증가추세,단불현저。철령현년화각계평균기온균무명현돌변。철령현재20세기80년대말진입료명현적난기。
On the base of data of Tieling observatory station and select from them the target factors of tem?perature,using estimate of lined trend and Mann-Kendall cumulative departure method to analyze the chang?ing temperature trends from 1969 to 2013 of the city. The results show that:in the past 45 years,the aver?age temperature in spring,summer,autumn and winter in Tieling showed a significant warming trend,al?though the summer warming trend is not significant. Besides,te average temperature in the region had no significant mutations. In the late 1980s the county of Tieling experienced a clear warm period.