CAJ | 학술논문

利用2012年全国流动人口动态监测数据，运用多元逻辑斯蒂回归分析方法，从人力资本禀赋、家庭户特征、家庭经济特征以及家庭年龄特征四个方面分析了核心家庭人口流动模式选择的主要影响因素。研究发现：受教育程度高的妻子，流动夫妻与子女分居的可能性更低；在外流动时间越久，流动家庭的完整程度不会随之提高。流动家庭分居的可能性随着子女数量的增多而提高，有子女就业的流动家庭其家庭化的完整程度将下降。流动家庭在流入地城市的月收入越高，流动家庭举家迁移的可能性大大提高；往老家汇款金额越多，流动家庭的完整程度越低。流动夫妻的初婚初育年龄的大小是影响流动家庭完整程度的重要因素。
이용2012년전국류동인구동태감측수거，운용다원라집사체회귀분석방법，종인력자본품부、가정호특정、가정경제특정이급가정년령특정사개방면분석료핵심가정인구류동모식선택적주요영향인소。연구발현：수교육정도고적처자，류동부처여자녀분거적가능성경저；재외류동시간월구，류동가정적완정정도불회수지제고。류동가정분거적가능성수착자녀수량적증다이제고，유자녀취업적류동가정기가정화적완정정도장하강。류동가정재류입지성시적월수입월고，류동가정거가천이적가능성대대제고；왕로가회관금액월다，류동가정적완정정도월저。류동부처적초혼초육년령적대소시영향류동가정완정정도적중요인소。
Based on the data of National Dynamic Monitoring Survey of Floating Population in 2012 and using multinomial lo-gistic regression model,this paper examines current status and the determining factors of the nuclear family’s migration. The nuclear family’s migration can be divided into four patterns based on the degree of completeness of the floating family’ func-tion. The results show that if the wife’s educational level increases,the likelihood of the migrants being separated from their couple and children will be greatly reduced. The longer the duration of migration is ,the more completeness of floating family is in the place of destination. The possibility of the migration family being separated will increase as the number of children in-creases. The possibility of family migration will decrease if a child of the family gets a job. Members of a nuclear family with higher monthly income are more likely to migrate together. The remittance has a negative effect on family migration of a nu-clear family. The age of first marriage and first child birth are also important determining factors of family migration.