CAJ | 학술논문

深入分析了岩溶隧道施工过程中涌突水灾害的超前预测预报及风险评价体系的研究现状，提出了国内外关于岩溶隧道涌突水灾害的超前预测预报尚处于探索性研究阶段、如何提高预测预报的精度成为长大深埋隧道施工中涌突水灾害防治最为迫切、最为关键的问题。采用理论分析与实例统计相结合的方法，查明了岩溶隧道涌突水灾害的孕灾环境与主要致灾因子，选取“岩石可溶性、地质构造条件、地表汇水强度、地下水循环交替强度、隧道与地下水位的相对位置关系”5个评价因子，建立了岩溶隧道涌突水灾害危险性预测评价指标体系，并采用定性与定量化相结合的方法，重点对评价指标的量化取值方法进行了研究。
심입분석료암용수도시공과정중용돌수재해적초전예측예보급풍험평개체계적연구현상，제출료국내외관우암용수도용돌수재해적초전예측예보상처우탐색성연구계단、여하제고예측예보적정도성위장대심매수도시공중용돌수재해방치최위박절、최위관건적문제。채용이론분석여실례통계상결합적방법，사명료암용수도용돌수재해적잉재배경여주요치재인자，선취“암석가용성、지질구조조건、지표회수강도、지하수순배교체강도、수도여지하수위적상대위치관계”5개평개인자，건립료암용수도용돌수재해위험성예측평개지표체계，병채용정성여정양화상결합적방법，중점대평개지표적양화취치방법진행료연구。
Water bursting hazard had taken a significant safety challenge to the deep buried tunnel engineering in the karst area of southwest China,and its prediction and risk assessment were still at the exploratory research stage.It was put forward that the most important issue in prevention and control of water inrush disasters was how to improve the accuracy of prediction and forecast in advance in deep buried tunnel construction.Based on the study of statistics and disaster formation conditions and control factors,five evaluation factors were selected, which were soluble rocks,geological structure condition and the surface catchment condition,the strength of groundwater cycles,the relationship between embedded depth of tunnel and underground water level.The index system of risk assessment on karst tunnel water inrush disasters was established,and quantitative methods of the evaluation indexes were discussed and studied.The study had provided deep buried karst tunnel construction with scientific and effective advanced geological forecast methods.