CAJ | 학술논문

天津港危化品大部分通过疏港公路运输。在运输过程中，由于疏港公路交通流量密集、各种车辆混行，在恶劣天气状况下，可能发生危化品车辆碰撞，导致危化品泄漏，进而发生爆燃，造成大规模的群死群伤事件。通过测算天津港主要疏港公路——海滨大道现有交通流量，模拟主要危化品车辆发生碰撞后的爆炸半径以及可能的人员伤亡损失情况，对天津港危化品公路运输爆燃风险做出定量分析。模拟结果表明，爆燃事件一旦发生，将有至少2人死亡。
천진항위화품대부분통과소항공로운수。재운수과정중，유우소항공로교통류량밀집、각충차량혼행，재악렬천기상황하，가능발생위화품차량팽당，도치위화품설루，진이발생폭연，조성대규모적군사군상사건。통과측산천진항주요소항공로——해빈대도현유교통류량，모의주요위화품차량발생팽당후적폭작반경이급가능적인원상망손실정황，대천진항위화품공로운수폭연풍험주출정량분석。모의결과표명，폭연사건일단발생，장유지소2인사망。
In Tianjin port, most hazardous cargos are transported by consolidation and distribution road. It is likely to cause serious personnel dead and injured in a crash involving hazardous cargo truck on consolidation and distribution road due to dense traffic flow, mixture of various vehicles and bad weather condition. The traffic flow of Haibin Road, which is the main consolidation and distribution road of Tianjin harbor, was calculated. The deflagra?tion radiuses of main hazardous cargo were also calculated. Transportation risk of hazardous materials was analyzed quantitatively. The simulation results show that at least 2 people will be killed if deflagration happens.