CAJ | 학술논문

本文采用区位熵和空间自相关方法分析了我国物流产业集聚的时空演变特征。研究表明，我国物流业发展的空间分布存在显著的区域差异，物流增加值区位熵波动性显著，物流业集聚程度存在较强的空间自相关和空间异质性，总体上呈现集聚化发展倾向。借助主成分回归分析探讨我国物流产业集聚的影响因素，发现这7个因素对我国物流业集聚均为正向促进作用，影响程度由高到低依次为基础设施建设、经济发展水平、消费水平、工业发展水平、对外开放程度、人力资本和区位因素，以上7个要素每增长1％，相应的物流业增加值就依次上升0.205％、0.194％、0.192％、0.187％、0.145％、0.057％和0.019％。
본문채용구위적화공간자상관방법분석료아국물유산업집취적시공연변특정。연구표명，아국물류업발전적공간분포존재현저적구역차이，물류증가치구위적파동성현저，물류업집취정도존재교강적공간자상관화공간이질성，총체상정현집취화발전경향。차조주성분회귀분석탐토아국물유산업집취적영향인소，발현저7개인소대아국물류업집취균위정향촉진작용，영향정도유고도저의차위기출설시건설、경제발전수평、소비수평、공업발전수평、대외개방정도、인력자본화구위인소，이상7개요소매증장1％，상응적물류업증가치취의차상승0.205％、0.194％、0.192％、0.187％、0.145％、0.057％화0.019％。
The paper uses the method of location quotient index and spatial autocorrelation analysis about the logistics industry ag-glomeration as well as spatial and temporal evolution in China from 2003-2011 . It turns out that , there is a significant terrain difference in logistics industry development in China . The location quotient of the added value of logistics industry has volatility significantly . Logis-tics industry agglomeration has strong spatial autocorrelation and heterogeneity , and presents agglomerating development . Then , by using principal component analysis to explore the influence factors of logistics industry cluster , it shows that the seven factors has positive promot-ing effect on logistics industry agglomeration , and its influence degree from high to low is the construction of infrastructure , the level of e-conomic development , the consumption circulation scale , the level of industrial development , the openness , the human capital and the regional factors , and the above seven factors each increases 1% , the added value of logistics industry will grow by 0.205% 、0.194% 、0.192% 、0.187% 、0.145% 、0.057% and 0.019% .