CAJ | 학술논문

农村居民旅游市场日益成为我国旅游市场的中坚力量之一。采取计量经济学分析方法对长江三角洲地级以上城市(含地级)农村居民人均旅游花费及其空间差异进行了科学衡量，利用柯布-道格拉斯模型进行回归分析测算出的人均旅游花费模拟值平抑了调研数据的较大波动性，能够较好地反映区域内的差异及克服样本误差性。研究结论表明：⑴GDP 的快速增长对农村居民旅游消费增长并未起到明显的作用；⑵农村居民人均旅游消费水平、平均消费倾向与社会经济发展水平紧密相关等。
농촌거민여유시장일익성위아국여유시장적중견역량지일。채취계량경제학분석방법대장강삼각주지급이상성시(함지급)농촌거민인균여유화비급기공간차이진행료과학형량，이용가포-도격랍사모형진행회귀분석측산출적인균여유화비모의치평억료조연수거적교대파동성，능구교호지반영구역내적차이급극복양본오차성。연구결론표명：⑴GDP 적쾌속증장대농촌거민여유소비증장병미기도명현적작용；⑵농촌거민인균여유소비수평、평균소비경향여사회경제발전수평긴밀상관등。
The rural resident tourism market has increasingly become one of the backbones of the tourism market in China.This paper analyzed the rural residents’per-capita tourist consumption and spatial disparity of cities in Yangtze River Delta by using the econometric method.The digital simulation value about rural residents’per-capita tourist consumption which is measured by Cobb-Douglas model stabilizes the volatility of survey data,well reflects the regional differences and overcomes the sample error. The result shows that:⑴It has no obvious effect to rural residents'tourism consumption growth under the rapid growth of GDP;⑵Rural residents’per-capita tourist consumption level and average propensity to consume are closely related to social and eco-nomic development level,etc.