沈阳工业大学学报（社会科学版）
瀋暘工業大學學報（社會科學版）
침양공업대학학보（사회과학판）
JOURNAL OF SHENYANG UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY(SOCIAL SCIENCE EDITION)
2015年
2期
127-132
,共6页
政府减排目标%产业结构%污染减排%面板门槛模型%经济规模
政府減排目標%產業結構%汙染減排%麵闆門檻模型%經濟規模
정부감배목표%산업결구%오염감배%면판문함모형%경제규모
pollution reduction goal of government%industry structure%pollution reduction%panel threshold model%economy scale
政府是污染减排的重要主体，了解其行为对污染减排的作用对提升污染减排效果及实现中国绿色发展具有重要意义。创造性地将政府减排目标纳入研究框架，构建面板门槛模型，从工业污染排放总量的角度分析政府减排目标、产业结构、经济规模等因素对地方污染减排的影响，并用工业污染物强度进行稳健性检验。结果显示，政府减排目标对污染减排的作用存在阶段性不同：经济发展初级阶段，政府减排目标对污染排放总量的作用方向为正；经济发展水平较高时，作用方向为负；两者之间存在适应性调整阶段，作用方向具有不确定性，但总体由正向作用向负向作用转变。产业结构对工业污染排放总量的作用方向因污染物种类而异，经济规模对工业污染排放总量作用方向为正。
政府是汙染減排的重要主體，瞭解其行為對汙染減排的作用對提升汙染減排效果及實現中國綠色髮展具有重要意義。創造性地將政府減排目標納入研究框架，構建麵闆門檻模型，從工業汙染排放總量的角度分析政府減排目標、產業結構、經濟規模等因素對地方汙染減排的影響，併用工業汙染物彊度進行穩健性檢驗。結果顯示，政府減排目標對汙染減排的作用存在階段性不同：經濟髮展初級階段，政府減排目標對汙染排放總量的作用方嚮為正；經濟髮展水平較高時，作用方嚮為負；兩者之間存在適應性調整階段，作用方嚮具有不確定性，但總體由正嚮作用嚮負嚮作用轉變。產業結構對工業汙染排放總量的作用方嚮因汙染物種類而異，經濟規模對工業汙染排放總量作用方嚮為正。
정부시오염감배적중요주체，료해기행위대오염감배적작용대제승오염감배효과급실현중국록색발전구유중요의의。창조성지장정부감배목표납입연구광가，구건면판문함모형，종공업오염배방총량적각도분석정부감배목표、산업결구、경제규모등인소대지방오염감배적영향，병용공업오염물강도진행은건성검험。결과현시，정부감배목표대오염감배적작용존재계단성불동：경제발전초급계단，정부감배목표대오염배방총량적작용방향위정；경제발전수평교고시，작용방향위부；량자지간존재괄응성조정계단，작용방향구유불학정성，단총체유정향작용향부향작용전변。산업결구대공업오염배방총량적작용방향인오염물충류이이，경제규모대공업오염배방총량작용방향위정。
government is an important body in pollution reduction, and understanding the function of its behavior on pollution reduction plays an important role in promoting pollution reduction effect and the realization of green development in China. The pollution reduction goal of government is creatively included into the research framework. The panel threshold model is established. The influence on local pollution reduction of the factors such as pollution reduction goal of government, economy scale, industry structure is analyzed from the perspective of total industrial pollution emissions, and the stability test is carried out by the industrial pollutant intensity. The result shows that there are differences on the pollution reduction goal of government to pollution reduction effect at different economic development stages. In the primary stage of economic development, the effect of pollution reduction goal of government to the pollution emissions is positive. But in the higher stage of economic development, the effect of pollution reduction goal of government to the pollution emissions is negative. While in the middle stage of economic development, there is an adaptive adjustment in between, the effect is uncertain, but the overall effect changes from the positive effect to the negative effect. The effect of the industry structure to industrial pollution emissions is different for the variety of pollutants. The effect of economy scale to industrial pollution emissions is positive.
