CAJ | 학술논문

运用灰色关联分析方法对投入产出指标间的关系进行分析，结果表明工业废气排放量和经济发展的关系最为密切。建立基于非期望产出的SBM模型，根据2002－2010年的数据计算出各省市的经济效率值，只有北京、上海、广东环境效率水平长期处于DEA有效，我国西部和中部间的效率差异在逐步缩小，而中部和东部间的效率差异趋于增大。最后通过对Malmquist指数的分解，得出各地区实现良性经济循环的必要条件是大力提高技术进步，抑制技术效率、纯技术效率和规模报酬的下降，从而提高经济发展的全要素生产率。
운용회색관련분석방법대투입산출지표간적관계진행분석，결과표명공업폐기배방량화경제발전적관계최위밀절。건립기우비기망산출적SBM모형，근거2002－2010년적수거계산출각성시적경제효솔치，지유북경、상해、엄동배경효솔수평장기처우DEA유효，아국서부화중부간적효솔차이재축보축소，이중부화동부간적효솔차이추우증대。최후통과대Malmquist지수적분해，득출각지구실현량성경제순배적필요조건시대력제고기술진보，억제기술효솔、순기술효솔화규모보수적하강，종이제고경제발전적전요소생산솔。
The relationships were analyzed among the input and output indicators of economic development by using the grey relational analysis , and the results indicated the relationship between industrial emis-sions and economic development is most closely .Secondly , the undesirable output SBM model has been established ,according to the computation of data for 2002-2010,the economic efficiency values of every province can be obtained , which showed that the environmental efficiency levels of Beijing , Shanghai , Guangdong are long-term effective under DEA , the efficiency differences between Chinese western and central area are gradually narrowing ,but the differences between the central and eastern tend to increase . Finally,with the decomposition of Malmquist Index ,the necessary conditions for virtuous economic cycle have been gotten , which are great improvement of technological advances , suppression of technical effi-ciency ,descent of pure technical efficiency and remuneration of scale ,thus the TFP of China economic de-velopment would be promoted .