医学临床研究
醫學臨床研究
의학림상연구
JOURNAL OF CLINICAL RESEARCH
2015年
4期
647-650,654
,共5页
陈鹏%刘潇%卢秀兰%左超%肖政辉%仇君
陳鵬%劉瀟%盧秀蘭%左超%肖政輝%仇君
진붕%류소%로수란%좌초%초정휘%구군
危重病%风险调节%ROC曲线%手足口病%儿童
危重病%風險調節%ROC麯線%手足口病%兒童
위중병%풍험조절%ROC곡선%수족구병%인동
Critical Illness%Risk Adjustment%ROC Curve%Hand,Foot and Mouth Disease%Child
【目的】比较分析小儿危重病例评分(Pediatric Clinical Illness Score ,PCIS)和儿童死亡风险评分(Pediatric Risk of Mortality Score ,PRISM )对重症手足口病患儿病情进展的预测价值。【方法】选取于2010年1月至2013年6月入住本院重症监护室(ICU )的符合重症手足口诊断标准的424名患儿。收集小儿PCIS和PRISM评分系统的相关生理参数及结局资料,通过受试者工作特征曲线(ROC)下的面积(AUC)来评估评分系统对并发症和结局的分辨力。【结果】死亡组患儿总住院天数和住IC U天数明显少于存活组患儿,且两者相比较差异有显著性( P <0.05)。死亡组患儿肺水肿和肺出血的发生率明显高于存活组,且两者相比较差异有显著性( P <0.05)。采用PCIS和PRISM评分来评价重症手足口病患儿病情发现,死亡组PCIS评分要明显低于存活组(Z=-6.48,P =0.000),死亡组PRISM 评分明显高于存活组(Z=-7.39,P =0.000),而且两评分系统存在相关性。PCIS和PRISM两评分系统分辨是否发生肺水肿、肺出血和死亡的AUC分别是0.74和0.78、0.82和0.87、0.83和0.87。【结论】PCIS、PRISM 均能够反映重症手足口病的危重程度,且相关程度高。两评分系统对重症手足口病发生严重并发症或者死亡的分辨力均到达可接受水平,且PRISM评分系统更优。
【目的】比較分析小兒危重病例評分(Pediatric Clinical Illness Score ,PCIS)和兒童死亡風險評分(Pediatric Risk of Mortality Score ,PRISM )對重癥手足口病患兒病情進展的預測價值。【方法】選取于2010年1月至2013年6月入住本院重癥鑑護室(ICU )的符閤重癥手足口診斷標準的424名患兒。收集小兒PCIS和PRISM評分繫統的相關生理參數及結跼資料,通過受試者工作特徵麯線(ROC)下的麵積(AUC)來評估評分繫統對併髮癥和結跼的分辨力。【結果】死亡組患兒總住院天數和住IC U天數明顯少于存活組患兒,且兩者相比較差異有顯著性( P <0.05)。死亡組患兒肺水腫和肺齣血的髮生率明顯高于存活組,且兩者相比較差異有顯著性( P <0.05)。採用PCIS和PRISM評分來評價重癥手足口病患兒病情髮現,死亡組PCIS評分要明顯低于存活組(Z=-6.48,P =0.000),死亡組PRISM 評分明顯高于存活組(Z=-7.39,P =0.000),而且兩評分繫統存在相關性。PCIS和PRISM兩評分繫統分辨是否髮生肺水腫、肺齣血和死亡的AUC分彆是0.74和0.78、0.82和0.87、0.83和0.87。【結論】PCIS、PRISM 均能夠反映重癥手足口病的危重程度,且相關程度高。兩評分繫統對重癥手足口病髮生嚴重併髮癥或者死亡的分辨力均到達可接受水平,且PRISM評分繫統更優。
【목적】비교분석소인위중병례평분(Pediatric Clinical Illness Score ,PCIS)화인동사망풍험평분(Pediatric Risk of Mortality Score ,PRISM )대중증수족구병환인병정진전적예측개치。【방법】선취우2010년1월지2013년6월입주본원중증감호실(ICU )적부합중증수족구진단표준적424명환인。수집소인PCIS화PRISM평분계통적상관생리삼수급결국자료,통과수시자공작특정곡선(ROC)하적면적(AUC)래평고평분계통대병발증화결국적분변력。【결과】사망조환인총주원천수화주IC U천수명현소우존활조환인,차량자상비교차이유현저성( P <0.05)。사망조환인폐수종화폐출혈적발생솔명현고우존활조,차량자상비교차이유현저성( P <0.05)。채용PCIS화PRISM평분래평개중증수족구병환인병정발현,사망조PCIS평분요명현저우존활조(Z=-6.48,P =0.000),사망조PRISM 평분명현고우존활조(Z=-7.39,P =0.000),이차량평분계통존재상관성。PCIS화PRISM량평분계통분변시부발생폐수종、폐출혈화사망적AUC분별시0.74화0.78、0.82화0.87、0.83화0.87。【결론】PCIS、PRISM 균능구반영중증수족구병적위중정도,차상관정도고。량평분계통대중증수족구병발생엄중병발증혹자사망적분변력균도체가접수수평,차PRISM평분계통경우。
[Objective] To compare the performances of pediatric critically illness score (PCIS) and pediat‐ric risk of mortality (PRISM ) in predicting the progression of severe hand ,foot and mouth disease .[Meth‐ods] A total of 424 severe HFMD pediatric patients were recruited from January 1 ,2010 to June 31 ,2013 .on the clinical data of age ,gender ,diagnosis ,length of stay in pediatric intensive care unit (PICU ) ,outcomes and variables were collected for calculating PCIS and PRISM .The area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was employed to assess the discriminating powers for complications and outcomes .[Results]The length of hospital stay for survivors was longer than that for deceased patients ( P <0 .05) .The incidence of pulmonary edema or pulmonary hemorrhage for deceased patients was higher than for survivors ( P <0 .05) . The median PCIS for deceased patients was lower than that for survivors (Z= -6 .48 ,P =0 .000) .And the median PRISM for deceased patients was higher than that for survivors (Z= -7 .39 ,P=0 .000) .There was a correlation between PCIS and PRISM in assessing the severity of disease .The ROC curve was 0 .74 for PCIS and 0 .78 for PRISM in discriminating pulmonary edema patients .And the ROC curve was 0 .82 for PCIS and 0 .87 for PRISM in discriminating pulmonary hemorrhage patients .The ROC curve was 0 .83 for PCIS and 0 . 87 for PRISM in discriminating deceased patients .[Conclusion] PCIS and PRISM can assessment the severity of HFMD .And a high correlation exists between PCIS and PRISM .Two scores can discriminate children with complications or death .And PRISM is better .