交通运输工程与信息学报
交通運輸工程與信息學報
교통운수공정여신식학보
JOURNAL OF TRANSPORTATION ENGINEERING AND INFORMATION
2015年
2期
27-32
,共6页
应急物资调拨中心%选址%格序决策方法
應急物資調撥中心%選阯%格序決策方法
응급물자조발중심%선지%격서결책방법
The emergency supplies allocation centers%locating%lattice order decision making method
应急物资调拨中心选址往往以时间效益最大化为主要目标,但同时也涉及到经济、社会、安全和生态环境等众多因素。在时间效益十分接近的情况下,综合因素的考虑会使得“不可公度性”和“矛盾性”时刻存在,再有决策者的不确定性偏好关系也会导致很难对备选方案进行绝对化的优劣排序。本文引入多目标格序决策方法,避免了决策者偏好关系的不确定性,打破了一直以来采用中间值、平均值代替评价值而不考虑评价值分布问题的做法。通过对应急物资调拨中心备选方案的格序化排序,选取最优方案,体现了格序决策方法在微差异性方案比选中的优势。最后应用该决策方法对某地区4个备选方案进行评价,得出结果与实际情况一致,证明该决策方法的适用性。
應急物資調撥中心選阯往往以時間效益最大化為主要目標,但同時也涉及到經濟、社會、安全和生態環境等衆多因素。在時間效益十分接近的情況下,綜閤因素的攷慮會使得“不可公度性”和“矛盾性”時刻存在,再有決策者的不確定性偏好關繫也會導緻很難對備選方案進行絕對化的優劣排序。本文引入多目標格序決策方法,避免瞭決策者偏好關繫的不確定性,打破瞭一直以來採用中間值、平均值代替評價值而不攷慮評價值分佈問題的做法。通過對應急物資調撥中心備選方案的格序化排序,選取最優方案,體現瞭格序決策方法在微差異性方案比選中的優勢。最後應用該決策方法對某地區4箇備選方案進行評價,得齣結果與實際情況一緻,證明該決策方法的適用性。
응급물자조발중심선지왕왕이시간효익최대화위주요목표,단동시야섭급도경제、사회、안전화생태배경등음다인소。재시간효익십분접근적정황하,종합인소적고필회사득“불가공도성”화“모순성”시각존재,재유결책자적불학정성편호관계야회도치흔난대비선방안진행절대화적우렬배서。본문인입다목표격서결책방법,피면료결책자편호관계적불학정성,타파료일직이래채용중간치、평균치대체평개치이불고필평개치분포문제적주법。통과대응급물자조발중심비선방안적격서화배서,선취최우방안,체현료격서결책방법재미차이성방안비선중적우세。최후응용해결책방법대모지구4개비선방안진행평개,득출결과여실제정황일치,증명해결책방법적괄용성。
The main goal of emergency material allocation center location is often the maximum time efficiency, meanwhile involving economic, social, and ecological factors. In the case that time efficiency is very similar, there are “incommensurability”and “contradiction”under considering comprehensive factors, and it is difficulty to absolutely order the multiple schemes because of the decision-makers’ uncertainty preference. The multi-objective lattice order decision making method was conducted to avoid the uncertainty of the decision-makers’ preference relations, which broken the traditional methods using the intermediate value or average value instead of evaluation value without considering the evaluation value distribution. With the lattice ordering of the emergency material allocation center, and selecting the optimal scheme, the advantage of the method to micro difference scheme selection was embodied. Finally, the decision method was applied to evaluate a real case in a given area and the results were consistent with the actual situation, and which proved the applicability of the decision making method.