CAJ | 학술논문

使用574个农民工家庭的数据对其家庭返乡定居意愿和返乡具体定居地选择进行估计，发现：家庭人口规模、家庭社会资本和家庭经历过拆迁3个变量与家庭返乡定居选择之间显著负相关，而对家庭未来评价则正向显著影响家庭返乡定居的选择。进一步地，使用mlogit模型对有返乡定居意愿的农民工家庭定居地选择进行回归，结果显示，与回户口所在地村居定居相比较，收入水平越高的家庭和主事者年龄越大的家庭，越不愿意在大城市定居；而社会资本越多和对家庭历史自评等级越高的农民工家庭，则越期望在县城以上城市定居。
사용574개농민공가정적수거대기가정반향정거의원화반향구체정거지선택진행고계，발현：가정인구규모、가정사회자본화가정경력과탁천3개변량여가정반향정거선택지간현저부상관，이대가정미래평개칙정향현저영향가정반향정거적선택。진일보지，사용mlogit모형대유반향정거의원적농민공가정정거지선택진행회귀，결과현시，여회호구소재지촌거정거상비교，수입수평월고적가정화주사자년령월대적가정，월불원의재대성시정거；이사회자본월다화대가정역사자평등급월고적농민공가정，칙월기망재현성이상성시정거。
Based on the data of 574 rural labor migration families, this paper mainly analysis their settlement intention and specific returning settlement selection?The result show that the settlement intension is negative correlated with 3 variables including family size, family social capital and whether experienced demolition, while evaluation about the future appears positive influence on their settlement intension?Further, by using the multinomial logistic model to conduct regression analysis regarding migrant workers’ willingness for the settled place, the result implied that those families with higher income levels or older head would have less willingness to settle down in big city? In contrary, those families with more social capital and those higher self?rating families would be more willing to settle in county level city.