CAJ | 학술논문

通过分析2000年和2010年两次人口普查中287个地级市的流动人口数据，发现十年间中国流动人口的城市分布格局出现新变化。进一步从经济发展水平、经济结构、产业结构和人口规模等方面分析流入地的城市特征，结果发现：2000年，投资和第二产业产值占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口具有显著优势；流动人口随着城市人口规模的扩大而增加，增加的速度存在收敛趋势。然而在2010年，投资占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口不再具有显著优势甚至呈现劣势；第三产业产值占比较高的城市吸纳流动人口的能力更强；流动人口随着城市人口规模的扩大依然存在增加趋势，且增加的速度不再随人口规模的增加而减慢。
통과분석2000년화2010년량차인구보사중287개지급시적류동인구수거，발현십년간중국류동인구적성시분포격국출현신변화。진일보종경제발전수평、경제결구、산업결구화인구규모등방면분석류입지적성시특정，결과발현：2000년，투자화제이산업산치점비교고적성시흡납류동인구구유현저우세；류동인구수착성시인구규모적확대이증가，증가적속도존재수렴추세。연이재2010년，투자점비교고적성시흡납류동인구불재구유현저우세심지정현열세；제삼산업산치점비교고적성시흡납류동인구적능력경강；류동인구수착성시인구규모적확대의연존재증가추세，차증가적속도불재수인구규모적증가이감만。
This paper analyzes the floating population of China ’ s 287 prefecture?level cities using the data from 2000 and 2010 population census data?The paper finds that there are some new changes China’ s floating population spatial distribution from 2000 to 2010?This paper also analyzes the relationship of the floating population with the level of economic development, economic structure, industrial structure and city population size of the destination cities?The paper finds that investment had significant positive effects in attracting floating population in 2000 , however this kind of attracting effect disappeared and even became significant negative effect in 2010?The tertiary industry has became the main force for cities to attract floating population?The number of floating population was increasing with the expansion of the city population size, but the increasing speed with city population size was descending in 2000 and not descending in 2010 .