CAJ | 학술논문

利用1953-2013年的逐日降水资料，分析了建平县暴雨的年际变化特征。对该地区产生暴雨的环流形势和天气系统进行了归纳和分析，得出了影响该地区产生暴雨的大尺度环流天气形势，并根据数值预报产品进行物理量诊断分析，从中选取预报因子和预报指标，再结合建平当地特殊地形综合进行分析，最后总结出形成建平气候特点的暴雨预报，为提高当地暴雨天气预报准确率提供了参考。
이용1953-2013년적축일강수자료，분석료건평현폭우적년제변화특정。대해지구산생폭우적배류형세화천기계통진행료귀납화분석，득출료영향해지구산생폭우적대척도배류천기형세，병근거수치예보산품진행물리량진단분석，종중선취예보인자화예보지표，재결합건평당지특수지형종합진행분석，최후총결출형성건평기후특점적폭우예보，위제고당지폭우천기예보준학솔제공료삼고。
Abstact Using the daily precipitation data from 1953 to 2013,the interannual variability characteristics of Jianping rainstorm were analyzed.The circulation and weather system,concluded large scale circulation situation for producing heavy rain were summarized.According to numerical forecast products,physical diagnosis analysis were did .Combined local special terrain,forecast factors and forecast indicators were chosen.At last,the heavy rain forecast of Jianping climate characteristics were summarized,in order to provide reference.