CAJ | 학술논문

国内学者在研究中国人力资本和物质资本与增长的关系时，对要素增长贡献的变化研究涉及不多。为此，以新增长理论为基础，比较分析“制度增长论”和“技术决定论”在中国的适用性后，对新增长模型进行了修改；从微观个体同质性的假设出发，探寻人力资本和物质资本对增长贡献的变化规律；同时，选取中国2001—2011年省级面板数据，用常规和分段回归的方法对相关假说与推论进行检验；最终得出：人力资本、物质资本及制度变迁在推动中国经济增长的同时，其总量对增长的贡献存在递减效应，结构对增长存在反向递增效应。
국내학자재연구중국인력자본화물질자본여증장적관계시，대요소증장공헌적변화연구섭급불다。위차，이신증장이론위기출，비교분석“제도증장론”화“기술결정론”재중국적괄용성후，대신증장모형진행료수개；종미관개체동질성적가설출발，탐심인력자본화물질자본대증장공헌적변화규률；동시，선취중국2001—2011년성급면판수거，용상규화분단회귀적방법대상관가설여추론진행검험；최종득출：인력자본、물질자본급제도변천재추동중국경제증장적동시，기총량대증장적공헌존재체감효응，결구대증장존재반향체증효응。
The change of the contribution of human capital and physical capital to economic growth has not been fully developed by domestic scholars.Thus,this paper modifies the Neoclassical growth model after comparing the institutional and technical role of Chinese economic growth.Then,it starts from the assumption of individual homogeneity,looking for the hypothesis and inferences about change rules of the contribution of human capital and physical capital to the economic growth.At the same time,these hypothesis and inferences have been tested respectively by conventional and subsection regression methods based on Chinese provincial panel data from 2001 to 2011.Finally,the contribution of human capital and physical capital is diminishing to the economic growth,and the reverse effect to growth is increasing from the structural imbalance of human capital and physical capital.