CAJ | 학술논문

通过被引频次来判断论文影响力已经得到广泛应用，如何快速而准确地挖掘到有价值的文章，是文献计量学领域的重要探索。对国内外科学论文被引频次的影响因素和预测方法进行了系统归纳，首先从传统文献计量学、新兴网络计量学两方面，将影响论文引用的相关因素按作者因素、文章因素、期刊因素、网络计量学、其他因素这五个维度进行梳理，然后总结了常用的引用预测方法，并重点探讨了回归分析法，最后对影响论文引用因素的选择、数据来源及指标问题进行讨论，并提出相关建议。
통과피인빈차래판단논문영향력이경득도엄범응용，여하쾌속이준학지알굴도유개치적문장，시문헌계량학영역적중요탐색。대국내외과학논문피인빈차적영향인소화예측방법진행료계통귀납，수선종전통문헌계량학、신흥망락계량학량방면，장영향논문인용적상관인소안작자인소、문장인소、기간인소、망락계량학、기타인소저오개유도진행소리，연후총결료상용적인용예측방법，병중점탐토료회귀분석법，최후대영향논문인용인소적선택、수거래원급지표문제진행토론，병제출상관건의。
Citation-count is widely used in assessing the impact of papers and how to mine the valuable papers quickly and accurately is an urgent exploration in bibliometrics. This paper is aimed to summarize systematically the indicators and prediction methods for scientific pa-pers citation impact. According to the traditional bibliometrics and emerging webmetrics, all the factors are classified into paper factors, author factors, journal factors, webmetrics and other factors. Then the methods on predicting citation-count are discussed, focusing on re-gression analysis. Finally, advices about selection of indictors and data sources are presented.