CAJ | 학술논문

本文利用逻辑斯蒂曲线模型构建高技术产业成长模型，并结合高技术产业成长指数的测度，定量判断长三角地区5个行业高技术产业成长所处的阶段，确立高技术产业从初创期向成长期，从成长期向成熟期转换的临界条件。结果表明，近18年来，长三角地区高技术产业成长整体上可分为波动上升、整体下降和平稳上升三个阶段；目前除电子计算机及办公设备制造业已进入成长期后期，医药制造业、电子及通信设备制造业、医疗设备及仪器仪表制造业均处于成长期前期。并针对分析结果提出相应的对策建议，增强技术创新能力、加大资金支持力度、塑造良好的区域环境、扩大市场需求是实现长三角地区高技术产业持续成长的有效途径。
본문이용라집사체곡선모형구건고기술산업성장모형，병결합고기술산업성장지수적측도，정량판단장삼각지구5개행업고기술산업성장소처적계단，학립고기술산업종초창기향성장기，종성장기향성숙기전환적림계조건。결과표명，근18년래，장삼각지구고기술산업성장정체상가분위파동상승、정체하강화평은상승삼개계단；목전제전자계산궤급판공설비제조업이진입성장기후기，의약제조업、전자급통신설비제조업、의료설비급의기의표제조업균처우성장기전기。병침대분석결과제출상응적대책건의，증강기술창신능력、가대자금지지력도、소조량호적구역배경、확대시장수구시실현장삼각지구고기술산업지속성장적유효도경。
This paper uses the logistic curve model to build the development model ofhigh-tech industry, and combines the measurement of high-tech indus-try's growth index to judge the five development stages of high-tech industry in the Yangtze River Delta. The boundary conditions from the initial stage to the growth stage and from the growth stage to the mature stage are determined. The results show that in recent 18 years the development of high-tech industry in the Yangtze River Delta could be divided into three stages, which are the fluctuation stage, thedecline stage and the stable rising stage. Recently, the electronic computer and office equipment manufacturingindustry has entered the late growth stage, and all the other industries, including the medicine manu-facturing industry, the electronic and communication equipment manufac-turingindustry, medical equipment and instrumentation manufacturingindustry, are in the early growth stage. This paper proposes correspondingcountermea-sures and suggestions according to the analysis results. To strengthen techno-logical innovation ability, to increase financial support, to build a good re-gional environment and to expand market demand are efficient ways to realize the sustainable growth of high-tech industry in the Yangtze River Delta.