工业技术经济
工業技術經濟
공업기술경제
INDUSTRIAL TECHNOLOGY & ECONOMY
2015年
5期
3-11
,共9页
金融创新%工业增长%VAR模型%脉冲响应
金融創新%工業增長%VAR模型%脈遲響應
금융창신%공업증장%VAR모형%맥충향응
financial innovation%industrial economic growth%VAR model%impulse response
本文通过对基本内生经济增长模型的拓展,将金融创新内生化,构建包含金融创新要素的内生经济增长模型,推导出金融创新是工业增长的重要条件。以往的研究大多集中于金融创新与宏观经济增长方面,尚未涉及金融创新与工业经济增长的关系,本文运用VAR模型探讨金融创新与工业增长的动态关系。VAR模型检验结果表明,金融创新对工业增长具有正向作用,且正向作用时效长于负向作用时效。脉冲响应分析结果表明,工业增长对金融创新冲击的反应呈现波动性,且重工业部门波动性强于轻工业部门,波动幅度差0.05个标准差。
本文通過對基本內生經濟增長模型的拓展,將金融創新內生化,構建包含金融創新要素的內生經濟增長模型,推導齣金融創新是工業增長的重要條件。以往的研究大多集中于金融創新與宏觀經濟增長方麵,尚未涉及金融創新與工業經濟增長的關繫,本文運用VAR模型探討金融創新與工業增長的動態關繫。VAR模型檢驗結果錶明,金融創新對工業增長具有正嚮作用,且正嚮作用時效長于負嚮作用時效。脈遲響應分析結果錶明,工業增長對金融創新遲擊的反應呈現波動性,且重工業部門波動性彊于輕工業部門,波動幅度差0.05箇標準差。
본문통과대기본내생경제증장모형적탁전,장금융창신내생화,구건포함금융창신요소적내생경제증장모형,추도출금융창신시공업증장적중요조건。이왕적연구대다집중우금융창신여굉관경제증장방면,상미섭급금융창신여공업경제증장적관계,본문운용VAR모형탐토금융창신여공업증장적동태관계。VAR모형검험결과표명,금융창신대공업증장구유정향작용,차정향작용시효장우부향작용시효。맥충향응분석결과표명,공업증장대금융창신충격적반응정현파동성,차중공업부문파동성강우경공업부문,파동폭도차0.05개표준차。
〔Abstract〕 Based on the basic model of endogenous economic growth , the paper expands endogenous growth model including ele-ments of financial innovation , financial innovation is important to deduce the conditions of industrial growth . Most previous studies have fo-cused on the aspects of financial innovation and economic growth , but have not involved in the relationship between financial innovation and industrial growth , the paper uses VAR model to explore the dynamic relationship between financial innovation and industrial growth . VAR model shows that financial innovation has a positive effect on industrial growth , and the positive effect of aging longer than the negative ef-fect of aging . Impulse response analysis , industrial growth responses to the impact of financial innovation with fluctuation , and volatility of the heavy industry sector is stronger than the light industry sector with 0.05 standard deviations .