CAJ | 학술논문

本文采用全国县级数据，运用基于倾向得分匹配的双重差分方法，考察了省直管县财政体制改革对民生性公共服务的影响。实证结果表明，省直管县财政体制改革总体上不利于民生性公共服务水平的提高：在医疗服务方面，改革对人均医疗床位数的影响虽不明显，但导致医疗支出比重相比于改革前下降了11.67%。在公共教育方面，改革对中小学生数占人口比重产生了负面效应，且导致教育支出比重较改革前下降了4.19%。另外，笔者还发现，改革对民生性公共服务的抑制作用具有明显的省份差异性和时间滞后性。
본문채용전국현급수거，운용기우경향득분필배적쌍중차분방법，고찰료성직관현재정체제개혁대민생성공공복무적영향。실증결과표명，성직관현재정체제개혁총체상불리우민생성공공복무수평적제고：재의료복무방면，개혁대인균의료상위수적영향수불명현，단도치의료지출비중상비우개혁전하강료11.67%。재공공교육방면，개혁대중소학생수점인구비중산생료부면효응，차도치교육지출비중교개혁전하강료4.19%。령외，필자환발현，개혁대민생성공공복무적억제작용구유명현적성빈차이성화시간체후성。
This paper investigates the effects of province directly governing county (PGC)reform on livelihood public service based on county-level data by using difference-in-differences propensity score matching approach.Our empirical results indicate that the PGC reform inhibits the improvement of counties’livelihood public service.The PGC reform does not have an obvious impact on the number of medical beds per capital,but decrease the proportion of county governments’health expenditure to total expenditure significantly by 1 1.67%.The reform also have a small negative effect on the ratio of primary and secondary students to total population and a significantly negative effect on the share of education ex-penditure,reducing the share by 4.1 9%.In addition,the results show that the PGC reform has heteroge-neous effects between provinces and time-lag effects.