CAJ | 학술논문

文章以中部崛起和两型社会建设为时点分界线，针对湖南省和湖北省不同时期不同来源的碳排放量应用LMDI分解和SDA分解方法，综合分析湘鄂两省碳排放历史规律。研究结果表明：在两型社会建设后，湖南比湖北具有更突出的减排效率，但整体而言湖北碳排放相对稳定；来源端方面，两型社会战略实施后，两省碳排放增长的主要拉动来自非化石燃料；生产端方面，两省碳排放路径较为类似，主要区别体现在能源效率上；需求端方面，诱发碳排放变化的区别主要体现在中间投入结构，特别是最终需求结构。
문장이중부굴기화량형사회건설위시점분계선，침대호남성화호북성불동시기불동래원적탄배방량응용LMDI분해화SDA분해방법，종합분석상악량성탄배방역사규률。연구결과표명：재량형사회건설후，호남비호북구유경돌출적감배효솔，단정체이언호북탄배방상대은정；래원단방면，량형사회전략실시후，량성탄배방증장적주요랍동래자비화석연료；생산단방면，량성탄배방로경교위유사，주요구별체현재능원효솔상；수구단방면，유발탄배방변화적구별주요체현재중간투입결구，특별시최종수구결구。
The paper, taking the point on the Rise of Central China and the construction of Two-oriented Society as the boundary, applies LMDI and SDA methods to comprehensively analyze carbon emissions in Hunan and Hubei provinces in different periods according to their different sources. The results show that:Hunan province has a more prominent emissions ef?ficiency after the construction of Two-oriented Society,but the overall carbon emissions of Hubei province is more stable. On the source side,the increase of carbon emissions is mainly driven by non-fossil fuels after the implementation of Two-orient?ed Society Strategy. On the supply side,carbon emissions paths of two provinces are almost similar whereas the main differ?ence is reflected by energy efficiency. On the demand side,the difference of changes induced by carbon emissions is mainly reflected by the structure of intermediate inputs,especially by the structure of final demand.