CAJ | 학술논문

文章以我国22个热点旅游城市为研究对象，选取2006-2013年各城市月度入境旅游面板数据（旅游人次），对季节性时空分布规律及影响因素进行探讨。首先，根据入境旅游人次月度均值，对我国22个热点旅游城市的淡旺季进行划分，运用重心模型、基尼系数、变异系数等定量分析方法对各个热点旅游城市的季节性时空分布差异进行深入分析；然后，针对我国入境旅游季节性的时空差异分布规律，基于“推-拉”理论识别出入境客源国的休假制度和气候条件（推力因素）、旅游目的地的气候条件和旅游资源类型（拉力因素）等关键变量，进而提出应对我国入境旅游季节性的相关对策。
문장이아국22개열점여유성시위연구대상，선취2006-2013년각성시월도입경여유면판수거（여유인차），대계절성시공분포규률급영향인소진행탐토。수선，근거입경여유인차월도균치，대아국22개열점여유성시적담왕계진행화분，운용중심모형、기니계수、변이계수등정량분석방법대각개열점여유성시적계절성시공분포차이진행심입분석；연후，침대아국입경여유계절성적시공차이분포규률，기우“추-랍”이론식별출입경객원국적휴가제도화기후조건（추력인소）、여유목적지적기후조건화여유자원류형（랍력인소）등관건변량，진이제출응대아국입경여유계절성적상관대책。
The paper, taking 22 hot tourist cities in China as the research object and collecting monthly inbound tourists from 2006 to 2013 as the panel data,explores the seasonal temporal-spatial distribution and its influencing factors. Firstly, according to the average monthly tourist arrivals,the article classifies off-season and season for 22 hot cities’inbound tour?ism, and employs quantitative methods (gravity model, Gini coefficient, coefficient of variation, etc.) to make the in-depth analysis on the seasonal differences in temporal-spatial distribution for these cities. Then,aiming at the seasonal differ?ences in spatial distribution of inbound tourism,the article proposes relevant countermeasures to deal with China’s inbound tourism seasonality based on the theory of“push and pull”to identify the leave system and climate conditions of the inbound tourist countries (push factors),the climate conditions and tourism resource types of tourist destinations (pull factors) .