CAJ | 학술논문

实施需求侧管理可以提高能源利用率，减少最大负荷需求量，相当于间接增加了系统的发电容量，因此能够提高发电系统的可靠性。简要介绍了发电系统可靠性指标，建立发电系统可靠性分析模型，包括发电容量模型和负荷模型，并分析了非时序蒙特卡洛法在发电系统可靠性评估中的应用。采用模拟法定量，以 IEEE 可靠性测试系统RTS(Reliability Test System)为例定量分析需求侧管理对发电系统可靠性的影响，分析结果表明实施需求侧管理能够提高能源利用率和发电系统的可靠性，使系统更加安全、经济、可靠地对用户供电。
실시수구측관리가이제고능원이용솔，감소최대부하수구량，상당우간접증가료계통적발전용량，인차능구제고발전계통적가고성。간요개소료발전계통가고성지표，건립발전계통가고성분석모형，포괄발전용량모형화부하모형，병분석료비시서몽특잡락법재발전계통가고성평고중적응용。채용모의법정량，이 IEEE 가고성측시계통RTS(Reliability Test System)위례정량분석수구측관리대발전계통가고성적영향，분석결과표명실시수구측관리능구제고능원이용솔화발전계통적가고성，사계통경가안전、경제、가고지대용호공전。
Demand side management can improve energy efficiency and reduce the maximum load demand, which is equivalent to an indirect increase in power generation capacity of the system, thus can improve the reliability of generation system. The reliability indexes of generation system is introduced briefly, the reliability analysis models including generation capacity model and load model are built for generation system, and the non-sequential Monte Carlo method applied in generation system reliability evaluation is analyzed. The IEEE Reliability Testing System (RTS) is set as an example to make a quantitative analysis of the influence of demand side management on generation system reliability evaluation. The analysis results show that implementation of demand side management can improve the energy utilization and reliability of generation system, thus the system can be more secure, economic and reliable to supply electric power for electricity users.