CAJ | 학술논문

基于海德平衡理论，探讨了老年人公交出行行为及态度改变的机理。基于老年人出行行为特性机理分析，从平衡理论的视角，构建老年人公交出行的“P-O-X”三角平衡模型，研究老年人为获得良好的公交出行体验，在态度关系链上选择比较容易改变的关系加以转换的平衡状态调整机理。以北京市南磨房周边老年人为研究对象，开展老年人公交出行行为和意愿调查，并建立老年人错峰出行意愿模型，量化分析非平衡状态与平衡状态转换过程。结果表明：69%的老年人愿意通过调整公共交通出发时刻，将不平衡状态转化成平衡状态，可为老年人出行机动性改善提供数据支持。
기우해덕평형이론，탐토료노년인공교출행행위급태도개변적궤리。기우노년인출행행위특성궤리분석，종평형이론적시각，구건노년인공교출행적“P-O-X”삼각평형모형，연구노년인위획득량호적공교출행체험，재태도관계련상선택비교용역개변적관계가이전환적평형상태조정궤리。이북경시남마방주변노년인위연구대상，개전노년인공교출행행위화의원조사，병건립노년인착봉출행의원모형，양화분석비평형상태여평형상태전환과정。결과표명：69%적노년인원의통과조정공공교통출발시각，장불평형상태전화성평형상태，가위노년인출행궤동성개선제공수거지지。
The travel behavior characteristics with public transit and the mechanism of attitude adjustment for the elderly were discussed based on the Heider's balance theory. According to the analysis of the elderly's travel behavior characteristics, a P-O-X triangular balance model was established from the viewpoint of balance theory to discuss the attitude adjustment mechanism in which the elderly would like to choose the attitude that was relatively easy to adjust among the attitude relationship chain to obtain better trip experience. A questionnaire of the elderly's travel behavior and attitude towards public transit was carried out and the elderly's public transit staggered shifts willingness model was formulated to quantitatively analyze the transition process between the imbalance and balance states. Results show that 69% of the elderly are likely to adjust their departure time to obtain better trip experience from the imbalance to the balance states. The research can provide essential support to traffic programming to meet the elderly's travel demand.