气象
氣象
기상
METEOROLOGICAL MONTHLY
2015年
5期
521-532
,共12页
张小玲%林建%张涛%孟庆涛%张润福%方翀%李萍阳%郑永光%谌芸%张芳华%杨波%魏丽%毕宝贵
張小玲%林建%張濤%孟慶濤%張潤福%方翀%李萍暘%鄭永光%諶蕓%張芳華%楊波%魏麗%畢寶貴
장소령%림건%장도%맹경도%장윤복%방충%리평양%정영광%심예%장방화%양파%위려%필보귀
暖季试验%仿真业务环境%联合会商%新技术测试
暖季試驗%倣真業務環境%聯閤會商%新技術測試
난계시험%방진업무배경%연합회상%신기술측시
warm-season experiment%operational simulation environment%conjunctive discussion%ad-vanced techniques testing
提2013年，国家气象中心联合中国气象科学研究院、南京大学、中国科学院大气物理研究所开展暖季试验，探索业务单位与科研单位合作的新途径，以实现对业务相关研究的促进并加速有应用前景的技术向业务转化。本文介绍支持暖季试验的仿真业务环境、强天气联合会商及凝练的科学技术问题以及新技术应用测试转化结果。通过暖季试验，搭建起能对业务数据和被测试转化成果产品实时保障的仿真业务数据环境、完全仿业务定量降水预报和强对流天气预报的仿真业务分析预报交互平台以及能实时评估业务数值模式和测试模式产品的客观检验系统。定期联合会商为预报员和科学家提供了面对面的交流平台，使得科学家更加了解业务需求并通过分析研究解决部分会商中提出的科学技术问题。新技术应用测试转化试验表明：高分辨率中尺度数值模式对提升强对流和暴雨天气的预报水平有积极意义，雷达风场反演技术、卫星天气应用平台对中尺度天气的快速分析有意义。而预报员与科技成果研发人员能否密切合作是影响科技成果业务转化的重要因素。
提2013年，國傢氣象中心聯閤中國氣象科學研究院、南京大學、中國科學院大氣物理研究所開展暖季試驗，探索業務單位與科研單位閤作的新途徑，以實現對業務相關研究的促進併加速有應用前景的技術嚮業務轉化。本文介紹支持暖季試驗的倣真業務環境、彊天氣聯閤會商及凝練的科學技術問題以及新技術應用測試轉化結果。通過暖季試驗，搭建起能對業務數據和被測試轉化成果產品實時保障的倣真業務數據環境、完全倣業務定量降水預報和彊對流天氣預報的倣真業務分析預報交互平檯以及能實時評估業務數值模式和測試模式產品的客觀檢驗繫統。定期聯閤會商為預報員和科學傢提供瞭麵對麵的交流平檯，使得科學傢更加瞭解業務需求併通過分析研究解決部分會商中提齣的科學技術問題。新技術應用測試轉化試驗錶明：高分辨率中呎度數值模式對提升彊對流和暴雨天氣的預報水平有積極意義，雷達風場反縯技術、衛星天氣應用平檯對中呎度天氣的快速分析有意義。而預報員與科技成果研髮人員能否密切閤作是影響科技成果業務轉化的重要因素。
제2013년，국가기상중심연합중국기상과학연구원、남경대학、중국과학원대기물리연구소개전난계시험，탐색업무단위여과연단위합작적신도경，이실현대업무상관연구적촉진병가속유응용전경적기술향업무전화。본문개소지지난계시험적방진업무배경、강천기연합회상급응련적과학기술문제이급신기술응용측시전화결과。통과난계시험，탑건기능대업무수거화피측시전화성과산품실시보장적방진업무수거배경、완전방업무정량강수예보화강대류천기예보적방진업무분석예보교호평태이급능실시평고업무수치모식화측시모식산품적객관검험계통。정기연합회상위예보원화과학가제공료면대면적교류평태，사득과학가경가료해업무수구병통과분석연구해결부분회상중제출적과학기술문제。신기술응용측시전화시험표명：고분변솔중척도수치모식대제승강대류화폭우천기적예보수평유적겁의의，뢰체풍장반연기술、위성천기응용평태대중척도천기적쾌속분석유의의。이예보원여과기성과연발인원능부밀절합작시영향과기성과업무전화적중요인소。
The separation between operational forecasting and research has been a serious limitation for ad-vanced techniques to be transferred into operation.The 2013 warm-season experiment,which was carried out by National Meteorological Centre (NMC)through collaborating with Chinese Academy of Meteoro-logical Sciences (CAMS),Nanjing University,Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP)of Chinese Acade-my of Sciences (CAS),mainly focuses on seeking a new cooperation mode between operation units and re-search institutions to inspire new initiatives for operationally relevant research and accelerate the transfer of promising new tools from research to operations.In this paper,the recurrence conjunctive discussion about severe weather events,the advanced techniques testing and the simulated operational environment for weather forecasting,which supports the experiment,are introduced.Based on this experiment,an op-erational simulation system including the real-time operational data flow and tested data flow supporting subsystem,the quantitative precipitation forecast and severe convective weather forecast platforms,the re-al-time model verification subsystem is built.The conjunctive discussion creates a face-to-face interview platform for forecasters and researchers,pushing forecasters to learn to address operational challenges from a more scientific perspective and researchers to understand more the operational needs and become better equipped to get over the application research problems proposed in the discussion.The advanced techniques testing shows that the high resolution mesoscale models are useful for severe convective weather and heavy rainfall operational forecasting,the radar wind retrieval technology and the satellite weather ap-plication platform are useful for quick analysis on mesoscale convective weather,and the cooperation be-tween forecasters and researchers is the key factor for techniques to be transferred into operation.
