大理学院学报
大理學院學報
대이학원학보
JOURNAL OF DALI COLLEGE
2015年
6期
13-17
,共5页
罗桂兰%张梅%冯立波%邓寿容%李雨
囉桂蘭%張梅%馮立波%鄧壽容%李雨
라계란%장매%풍립파%산수용%리우
生态环境%指数平滑法%动态预测
生態環境%指數平滑法%動態預測
생태배경%지수평활법%동태예측
ecological environment%exponential smoothing method%dynamic prediction
大规模生态环境数据的处理和统计分析为环境保护和预测提供重要依据,其分析和预测方法成为数据处理的研究重点。在对海量生态环境数据的分类整理和综合处理基础上,基于时间序列的指数平滑法建立了一种动态二次指数生态环境数据预测模型。该模型针对生态环境的实时变化特征,利用二次指数平滑方法实现了静态参数的动态优化处理。以云南大理生态环境数据为样本,通过实验仿真测试和模型分析,结果验证了该模型的适用性和准确性。
大規模生態環境數據的處理和統計分析為環境保護和預測提供重要依據,其分析和預測方法成為數據處理的研究重點。在對海量生態環境數據的分類整理和綜閤處理基礎上,基于時間序列的指數平滑法建立瞭一種動態二次指數生態環境數據預測模型。該模型針對生態環境的實時變化特徵,利用二次指數平滑方法實現瞭靜態參數的動態優化處理。以雲南大理生態環境數據為樣本,通過實驗倣真測試和模型分析,結果驗證瞭該模型的適用性和準確性。
대규모생태배경수거적처리화통계분석위배경보호화예측제공중요의거,기분석화예측방법성위수거처리적연구중점。재대해량생태배경수거적분류정리화종합처리기출상,기우시간서렬적지수평활법건립료일충동태이차지수생태배경수거예측모형。해모형침대생태배경적실시변화특정,이용이차지수평활방법실현료정태삼수적동태우화처리。이운남대리생태배경수거위양본,통과실험방진측시화모형분석,결과험증료해모형적괄용성화준학성。
Large scale ecological environmental data processing and statistical analysis results can provide important bases for environmental protection and prediction, the analysis and prediction method become the research emphases in data processing. In this paper, based on the classification and comprehensive data processing of magnanimous ecological environment data, a prediction model of ecological environment data is established based on dynamic and two exponential smoothing method of time series. Aiming at the real-time variation of ecological environment, the dynamic optimization process of static parameters is realized by using two exponential smoothing methods. Taking the ecological environment data of Dali, Yunnan as the sample, through the simulation test and the model analysis, its results verify the applicability and accuracy of the model.