CAJ | 학술논문

当前，随着社会转型的不断深化，我国进入了群体性暴力事件的高发期。为进一步了解此类事件的形成机制，降低群体性暴力事件对社会稳定带来的负面影响，作者在agent建模、社会燃烧理论以及羊群效应等理论的基础上搭建了一个群体性暴力事件的形成模型，仿真了无警力条件下群体性暴力事件自发形成的过程。大量仿真结果表明，在群体性暴力事件发生现场的区域内人员密度、“点燃”事件的类型、所在地区的可目视范围以及当地社会环境中的舆论导向等因素均会对群体性暴力事件的产生及发展带来不同程度的影响。该结果将为相关部门预防与处置群体性暴力事件提供重要的理论依据。
당전，수착사회전형적불단심화，아국진입료군체성폭력사건적고발기。위진일보료해차류사건적형성궤제，강저군체성폭력사건대사회은정대래적부면영향，작자재agent건모、사회연소이론이급양군효응등이론적기출상탑건료일개군체성폭력사건적형성모형，방진료무경력조건하군체성폭력사건자발형성적과정。대량방진결과표명，재군체성폭력사건발생현장적구역내인원밀도、“점연”사건적류형、소재지구적가목시범위이급당지사회배경중적여론도향등인소균회대군체성폭력사건적산생급발전대래불동정도적영향。해결과장위상관부문예방여처치군체성폭력사건제공중요적이론의거。
Currently, along with the reform of society our country is entering a high-incidence season of collective violence. For further understanding of the forming mechanism for the collective violence and reducing the negative effects of the collective violence on social security, this paper build a new model for the formation of the collective violence by agent-based modeling. The model simulated a collective violence event from the bottom up in a no police condition and testiifed the explanation of the social combustion theory to the collective violence. A large number of simulation results show that population density, the types of emergencies, visions of participants, dissatisfaction with the society and so on have a close relationship with the formation and the development of the collective violence. This analysis will provide a scientiifc guidance for relevant departments in the prevention and control of the collective violence.