上海国土资源
上海國土資源
상해국토자원
SHANGHAI LAND&RESOURCES
2015年
2期
42-45,50
,共5页
征地%失地农民%农户意愿调查%实证分析%Logistic模型
徵地%失地農民%農戶意願調查%實證分析%Logistic模型
정지%실지농민%농호의원조사%실증분석%Logistic모형
land acquisition%land-lose farmers%investigation of farmers wishes%empirical analysis%Logistic model
利用笔者对浙江省杭州市和江西省南昌市两地近240户样本村的问卷调研数据，采用二元Logistic回归模型实证分析影响失地农民征地意愿的因素。研究结果表明：农户是否有非农劳动技能、家庭非农经济收入比重、征地补偿满意度、干群关系、征地后农户对未来生活的预期状况均对失地农户被征地意愿有正向影响，而家庭人口抚养比对失地农户被征地意愿有负向影响。基于上述结论，本文提出应规范农地征用制度，提高征地补偿标准；建立完善失地农民的社会保障机制；鼓励和支持失地农民非农就业，解决失地农民的就业问题；创建新型农村社会干群关系，强化村干部为民谋福利的责任意识等政策建议。
利用筆者對浙江省杭州市和江西省南昌市兩地近240戶樣本村的問捲調研數據，採用二元Logistic迴歸模型實證分析影響失地農民徵地意願的因素。研究結果錶明：農戶是否有非農勞動技能、傢庭非農經濟收入比重、徵地補償滿意度、榦群關繫、徵地後農戶對未來生活的預期狀況均對失地農戶被徵地意願有正嚮影響，而傢庭人口撫養比對失地農戶被徵地意願有負嚮影響。基于上述結論，本文提齣應規範農地徵用製度，提高徵地補償標準；建立完善失地農民的社會保障機製；鼓勵和支持失地農民非農就業，解決失地農民的就業問題；創建新型農村社會榦群關繫，彊化村榦部為民謀福利的責任意識等政策建議。
이용필자대절강성항주시화강서성남창시량지근240호양본촌적문권조연수거，채용이원Logistic회귀모형실증분석영향실지농민정지의원적인소。연구결과표명：농호시부유비농노동기능、가정비농경제수입비중、정지보상만의도、간군관계、정지후농호대미래생활적예기상황균대실지농호피정지의원유정향영향，이가정인구무양비대실지농호피정지의원유부향영향。기우상술결론，본문제출응규범농지정용제도，제고정지보상표준；건립완선실지농민적사회보장궤제；고려화지지실지농민비농취업，해결실지농민적취업문제；창건신형농촌사회간군관계，강화촌간부위민모복리적책임의식등정책건의。
Questionnaire data from nearly 240 sample village households from Hangzhou, Zhejiang province and Nanchang, Jiangxi province are used in a dual logistic regression model to analyze factors affecting the preferences and behavior of farmers during land requisition. The results show that regardless of whether farmers have non-farm labor skils, the proportion of family non-farm income, satisfaction with land expropriation compensation, the relationship between farmers and land appropriation ofifcers, expectations of quality of life after land requisition, which domestic population bring-up ratio, are all negatively affected by land requisition. Based these results, the study suggests better regulation of the farmland expropriation system, improvement of land requisition compensation standards, establishment of social security mechanisms for farmers who have lost land, implementation of support structures to help farmers move into non-agricultural employment, solve their employment problems, creation of new rural social relationships between farmers and land appropriation ofifcers, and strengthening of the responsibility of cadres for farmers’ welfare.
