CAJ | 학술논문

本文利用2000—2012年浙江九个地市的面板数据，分析浙江省经济增长对碳排放的影响。总体上，当前浙江经济增长和碳排放之间存在负向作用，已超过倒“U”型环境库兹涅兹曲线的拐点。浙江各地情况有所差异：丽水市的经济增长对碳减排影响不显著；嘉兴﹑金华﹑台州三市的经济增长对碳减排的促进作用大于杭州﹑温州﹑湖州和绍兴；宁波以石化冶金产业为主的临港型经济使其不符合倒“U”型曲线，经济增长对碳排放存在正向作用。政府应对不同地市的情况，需制定更具针对性的碳减排政策。
본문이용2000—2012년절강구개지시적면판수거，분석절강성경제증장대탄배방적영향。총체상，당전절강경제증장화탄배방지간존재부향작용，이초과도“U”형배경고자열자곡선적괴점。절강각지정황유소차이：려수시적경제증장대탄감배영향불현저；가흥﹑금화﹑태주삼시적경제증장대탄감배적촉진작용대우항주﹑온주﹑호주화소흥；저파이석화야금산업위주적림항형경제사기불부합도“U”형곡선，경제증장대탄배방존재정향작용。정부응대불동지시적정황，수제정경구침대성적탄감배정책。
This paper selects the panel data from nine cities in Zhejiang province from 2000 to 2012 in order to explore whether there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between economic growth and carbon emissions in Zhejiang. In general, economic growth in Zhejiang has exceeded the turning point of the inverted U-shape envi-ronmental Kuznets curve. Nine cities can be divided into two distinct groups because of their different circum-stances. The effect of economic growth on carbon emissions shows a big gap between one group﹙Hangzhou, Wen-zhou, Huzhou and Shaoxing﹙and the other﹙Jiaxing, Jinhua and Taizhou). Ningbo and Lishui are not significant in the empirical study. Local governments have to make policies according to the actual different situations.