CAJ | 학술논문

海表水温（SST）通常是表征鱼类栖息地分布的主要指标。本文根据1999—2007年我国大型灯光围网的鲐鱼生产统计数据，结合海洋遥感获得的 SST，分析了渔汛期间鲐鱼栖息地的适宜 SST 范围，探讨了 SST 变动情况下鲐鱼栖息地的变化趋势。研究结果表明，东、黄海鲐鱼7—12月的适宜SST 范围为15～30℃。根据政府气候变化专门委员会（IPCC）第四份评估报告，本文拟定4种 SST 上升的情况，即（1）每月平均 SST＋0．5℃；（2）每月平均 SST＋1℃；（3）每月平均 SST＋2℃；（4）每月平均SST＋4℃。结果显示，东、黄海鲐鱼的潜在栖息有明显向北移动的趋势，并且栖息地面积逐渐减小。研究认为，全球气候变化引起的 SST 上升，可能会对近海鲐鱼栖息地造成严重的影响。
해표수온（SST）통상시표정어류서식지분포적주요지표。본문근거1999—2007년아국대형등광위망적태어생산통계수거，결합해양요감획득적 SST，분석료어신기간태어서식지적괄의 SST 범위，탐토료 SST 변동정황하태어서식지적변화추세。연구결과표명，동、황해태어7—12월적괄의SST 범위위15～30℃。근거정부기후변화전문위원회（IPCC）제사빈평고보고，본문의정4충 SST 상승적정황，즉（1）매월평균 SST＋0．5℃；（2）매월평균 SST＋1℃；（3）매월평균 SST＋2℃；（4）매월평균SST＋4℃。결과현시，동、황해태어적잠재서식유명현향북이동적추세，병차서식지면적축점감소。연구인위，전구기후변화인기적 SST 상승，가능회대근해태어서식지조성엄중적영향。
Sea surface temperature (SST)is an important indicator representing fish habitat.According to Scomber japonicus fishery-dependent data of large lighting-purse seine,combining with SST by remote sensing,the suitable range of SST of Scomber japonicas during the fishing seasons are analyzed and the changing tendency of the Scom-ber japonicas habitat caused by variation of water temperature are also discussed.The results proved that suitable range of SST of Scomber japonicas in the East China Sea and Yellow Sea is 15-30℃.This study based on global climate simulations under several emission scenarios (A1FI,A1B,A1T,A2,B1,and B2)from the AR4 of the IPCC to examine the impact on potential habitats of Scomber japonicas for the next 100 years.So we simulate four kinds of water temperatures rise by gradient :(1)monthly average SST increase of 0.5℃;(2)monthly average SST in-crease of 1℃;(3)monthly average SST increase of 2℃;(4)monthly average SST increase of 4℃.The results in-dicated that the habitat of Scomber japonicas had a obvious northwards shifting tendency,and the area of habitat would decreased gradually.It is concluded that the rising SST caused by the global climate change would have a se-riously effect on the habitat of Scomber japonicas .These results can make us understand the spatial distribution of Scomber japonicas influenced by SST in fishery management and fishery forecasting,which also provide the guide for the prediction of the Scomber japonicus potential habitat in the East China Sea and Yellow Sea.