CAJ | 학술논문

海洋资源、空间争夺日益激烈，海工装备制造业成为各沿海国家及地区的战略性支柱产业。广阔的市场前景和有利的政策支撑下，我国沿海省区掀起海工装备基地建设热潮。以我国沿海省区为研究对象，从市场需求、相关产业和发展环境支撑能力三个方面构建了海工装备制造业发展潜力评价模型及评价指标体系，运用 AHP 和相关系数赋权法对其海工装备制造业发展潜力进行评价。结果表明：各指标与产业发展潜力的相关程度存在较大差距，改善产业发展环境可以有效提高产业的发展潜力；各省区发展海工装备制造业的潜力来源各有侧重，突出地区优势有助于协调区域资源配置实现产业快速健康发展；运用 K －均值聚类分析，将沿海省区按照发展潜力划分3个等级有利于地区产业发展途径的选择。
해양자원、공간쟁탈일익격렬，해공장비제조업성위각연해국가급지구적전략성지주산업。엄활적시장전경화유리적정책지탱하，아국연해성구흔기해공장비기지건설열조。이아국연해성구위연구대상，종시장수구、상관산업화발전배경지탱능력삼개방면구건료해공장비제조업발전잠력평개모형급평개지표체계，운용 AHP 화상관계수부권법대기해공장비제조업발전잠력진행평개。결과표명：각지표여산업발전잠력적상관정도존재교대차거，개선산업발전배경가이유효제고산업적발전잠력；각성구발전해공장비제조업적잠력래원각유측중，돌출지구우세유조우협조구역자원배치실현산업쾌속건강발전；운용 K －균치취류분석，장연해성구안조발전잠력화분3개등급유리우지구산업발전도경적선택。
With the increasingly fierce contention marine resources and space,marine equipment manufacturing (re-ferred to as MEM)industry has become a strategic pillar industry of the coastal countries and regions.In the context of broad market prospects and favorable policy,the coastal provinces set off a building boom of marine equipment base. From the three support aspects of the industry,market demand,industry and the development environment,the paper builds a model and index system to evaluate MEM development potential,and applies AHP and correlation coefficient method to evaluate marine equipment manufacturing industry development potential.The results show that:there is a big gap of the relevance between various indicators and industrial development potential;improving the industrial develop-ment environment can effectively increase the development potential;the MEMdevelopment potential in coastal areas has different sources;stressing regional advantages can contribute to coordinating regional resources configuration and reali-zing rapid and healthy industrialization;based on K -means clustering analysis,the coastal provinces are divided into three classes according to the development potential,which is conducive to choosing proper regional industrial develop-ment pathway.