CAJ | 학술논문

从地质构造、含水层、隔水层、开采条件等方面详细分析了赵官井田10煤层底板突水的影响因素，确定了断层强度指数、褶皱分维值、“底板充水含水层组”水压、“底板充水含水层组”富水性、奥灰富水性、隔水层厚度、泥岩比率、底板破坏深度8个主控因素作为10煤层底板突水危险性评价的决策指标，并建立了各主控因素专题图；运用层次分析法(AHP)确定了各主控因素的权重系数，建立了基于“脆弱性指数法”的底板突水危险性评价模型，对10煤层底板突水危险性进行了定量评价，结果表明：在井田的南部煤层露头处脆弱性指数小，突水可能性较小；在井田的北部，特别是在井田东北部，脆弱性指数大，突水危险性较大。
종지질구조、함수층、격수층、개채조건등방면상세분석료조관정전10매층저판돌수적영향인소，학정료단층강도지수、습추분유치、“저판충수함수층조”수압、“저판충수함수층조”부수성、오회부수성、격수층후도、니암비솔、저판파배심도8개주공인소작위10매층저판돌수위험성평개적결책지표，병건립료각주공인소전제도；운용층차분석법(AHP)학정료각주공인소적권중계수，건립료기우“취약성지수법”적저판돌수위험성평개모형，대10매층저판돌수위험성진행료정량평개，결과표명：재정전적남부매층로두처취약성지수소，돌수가능성교소；재정전적북부，특별시재정전동북부，취약성지수대，돌수위험성교대。
The main factors influencing the water inrush of seam floor are studied based on geologic structure, aq-uifer, aquiclude and mining conditions. Eight parameters are taken as indexes for forecasting the water inrush risk, including fault intensity index, fold fractal dimension, water pressure, water abundance of “lower aquifers”, water abundance of Ordovician limestone, aquiclude thickness, the percentage of mudstone and the depth of destroyed floor caused by coal mining. The paper uses analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method to sequence the main con-trolling factors, and then to establish the vulnerability index for evaluating water inrush risk in the floor of coal seam 10. The evaluation results show that the value of vulnerability index and water inrush risk are small in the southern part and high in the northeast of the minefield.